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Cyber Program Lead @a_pytlak was recently interviewed by @walberque on @IISS_org's The Arms Control Poseur to discuss emerging #cyber threats and the challenges for better global cyber governance. iiss.org/podcasts/arms-…
Yesterday, the US State Department formally accused #Russia of using chemical weapons (CW) against Ukraine, violating the Chemical Weapons Convention. It also said Russia had used riot control agents as a method of warfare in #Ukraine. state.gov/imposing-new-m… 🧵/1
@CNN reports that the US conclusion tallies with testimony from Ukrainian troops who say they have faced increased encounters with gas and other irritant chemicals on parts of their frontline with Russia’s forces in recent months. edition.cnn.com/2024/05/01/eur… /3
Excellent thread on the possible use of chemical agents by Russia in Ukraine. Highly problematic development as it is another sign of Russia moving away from arms control obligations.
Excellent thread on the possible use of chemical agents by Russia in Ukraine. Highly problematic development as it is another sign of Russia moving away from arms control obligations.
Macron: “France has always rejected the use of tactical nuclear weapons…” Always?
Macron: “France has always rejected the use of tactical nuclear weapons…” Always? https://t.co/TWxETQYETs
Significant new US sanctions against Russia out today. Targets include Russian Arctic LNG-2 project; CBW facilities; PRC companies supplying hi-tech; evaders from Turkiye, Kyrgyz, and Malaysia; a Hong Kong firm sending hi-tech to Russia; & more. 1/2 @ACGeoEcon…
@ThrustWR The irony ofcourse is that Russia would probably invest into BMD penetration regardless of short term (ie 1-5 years) US choices. (One of my favourite graphics from 10 years ago, used by Sarmat advocate)
GUR assessment of Russian missile production and stockpile: -40 Tsirkon in service and up to 10 produced per month -400 Oniks / Oniks-M and up to 10 produced per month -270 Kalibr and 30-40 produced per month -45 Kh-65 and 1-3 produced per month armyinform.com.ua/2024/05/01/gur…
GUR assessment of Russian missile production and stockpile: -40 Tsirkon in service and up to 10 produced per month -400 Oniks / Oniks-M and up to 10 produced per month -270 Kalibr and 30-40 produced per month -45 Kh-65 and 1-3 produced per month armyinform.com.ua/2024/05/01/gur…
I visited @MaxwellSU to speak and engage students, faculty, and alumni on @NATO and the role of arms control, nonproliferation, and disarmament. Thank you for hosting this open dialogue on U.S. efforts aimed to strengthen international security. state.gov/under-secretar…
I visited @MaxwellSU to speak and engage students, faculty, and alumni on @NATO and the role of arms control, nonproliferation, and disarmament. Thank you for hosting this open dialogue on U.S. efforts aimed to strengthen international security. state.gov/under-secretar…
Jessica Berlin @berlin_bridge
123K Followers 887 Following Security & foreign policy | Ex-🇦🇫🇨🇳🇲🇲🇷🇼🇬🇧🇺🇸 | Sr Fellow @cepa | Capital 🇩🇪 40u40 | ☕️ https://t.co/bJJwJ9yq8b | Don’t just get mad, get busyMinna Ålander 🌻 @minna_alander
55K Followers 2K Following Research Fella @FIIA_fi & @cepa fellow. Nordic security & defence, 🇫🇮&🇩🇪 foreign & sec pol. Plot twist: not from Åland. Rants my own. 📸©️ Sasa StrainovicBenjamin Tallis 🇺�.. @bctallis
38K Followers 7K Following International Politics & Security | #NeoIdealism | Democratic #GrandStrategy | #Zeitenwende |🇺🇦🇪🇺🇩🇪🇨🇿🇬🇧 | #BerlinsideOut Pod |T=personal. RT≠agree.Ulrich Speck @ulrichspeck
58K Followers 647 Following Foreign policy analyst and strategist. Columnist NZZ. Ex GMF Berlin, Washington; Carnegie, Elcano Brussels; RFERL Prague, PhD historyEdward Hunter Christi.. @EHunterChristie
31K Followers 2K Following Senior Research Fellow @FIIA_fi. PhD @VUBrussel & Belgian Royal Military Academy. Former @NATO official 2014-2020. Views my own.Kristi Raik @KristiRaik
34K Followers 2K Following Deputy Director @ICDS_Tallinn, Adjunct Professor @UniTurku. Passionate about international politics and security, feeling home in Estonia, Finland and at sea.Mart Kuldkepp @martku.. @KuldkeppMart
18K Followers 2K Following Professor of Estonian and Nordic History @UCL | Regular contributing writer @postimees | Moral clarity enjoyer. Own views only.Gustav C. Gressel @GresselGustav
42K Followers 2K Following Senior policy fellow @ECFRWiderEurope @ECFR, PhD, specialised on security, defence, military | NATO, EU, Eastern EuropeHans Kristensen @nukestrat
50K Followers 684 Following Director, Nuclear Information Project, Federation of American Scientists. Tracking nuclear arsenals, writing Nuclear Notebook, SIPRI Yearbook. Opinions my own.Sergey Radchenko @DrRadchenko
69K Followers 3K Following Historian of the Cold War and after. Wilson E. Schmidt Distinguished Professor @KissingerCenter @SAISHopkins.Georg ‘Tenured Mave.. @gloefflmann
15K Followers 2K Following Lecturer (Assistant Prof) in US Foreign Policy @QMPoliticsIR. Author of The Politics of Antagonism. Researches Security/Narratives/Identity/PopulismHenri Vanhanen @HenriVanhanen
14K Followers 380 Following Author. Connoisseur of foreign and security policy.Pavel Podvig @russianforces
46K Followers 713 Following Russian nuclear forces, nuclear arms control, disarmament, verification. Strictly personal views here. All coordinates are at https://t.co/QgmWsijsuKHeather Williams @heatherwilly
14K Followers 1K Following Director, Project on Nuclear Issues & Senior Fellow, Intl Security, CSIS @csisponi | Assoc Fellow, Managing the Atom, Harvard Kennedy School @ManagingtheAtomMattia Nelles @mattia_n
36K Followers 3K Following 🇩🇪 Ukraine-Watcher. I have been working on and in 🇺🇦 since 2014. CEO & Co-Founder of the German-Ukrainian Bureau (Deutsch-Ukrainisches Büro (DUB) GmbH).Dr. Jeffrey Lewis @ArmsControlWonk
107K Followers 2K Following Professor at @MIIS, staff at @JamesMartinCNS, host of the @ACWpodcast & member of @StateDept Int’l Security Advisory Board. All opinions are my own.François Heisbourg @FHeisbourg
38K Followers 1K Following Senior advisor for Europe, IISS, conseiller spécial/special adviser FRSAleksandar Djokic (А.. @polidemitolog
11K Followers 2K Following PhD in political science from RUDN Moscow. Former assistant professor at RUDN Moscow. Political analyst. Columnist at Bloomberg Adria & Euronews. Views my own.Steven Pifer @steven_pifer
39K Followers 914 Following Affiliated with Stanford's CISAC & Brookings. Retired Foreign Service officer; former US ambassador to Ukraine. Interests include nukes, Europe & mountains.Farah Dakhlallah @NATOpress
155K Followers 2K Following Official Twitter account of the @NATO Spokesperson, Farah Dakhlallah. RT/follow doesn't mean endorsement. #WeAreNATOVulture @VultWarTutor
2 Followers 21 Following “God created war so that Americans would learn geography.” ― Mark TwainFrederick Arnold @fa_strategies
4 Followers 19 Following Bridging technology, peace, and warfare strategies.Allison Pytlak @a_pytlak
3K Followers 2K Following Cyber Program Lead @StimsonCenter. Former Disarm Manager @RCW_ @WILPF. Recovered New Yorker. Runner, dancer, karaoke legend✌️✨️ Views my own.Hüseyin ÇAKIRTAŞ @huseyincakirtas
75 Followers 3K FollowingDécalage Diplo @DecalageD
6 Followers 46 Following La recherche du petit détail qui illustre les grands phénomènes en diplomatie. @HaroldTribune_ (Harold Hyman) @NagyMaximilienDominic Rohner @dominic_rohner
5K Followers 5K Following Economics professor @heclausanne @UNIL studying conflict, development & institutions. PI @ERC_Research grant. Leader #RPNpeace @cepr_org. Assoc. Editor @EJ_RES.Eric Fontaine @ericairguard
3 Followers 21 Following Naviguer dans les innovations aérospatiales et les alliances de défense mondiales.Ethan Clarke @EthanOnDefense
5 Followers 21 Following Analyzing defense innovation and geopolitical strategies through a tech-savvy lens.Justin Key Canfil @jcanfil
2K Followers 1K Following Assistant Prof @CarnegieMellon ■ Stanton Fellow @CFR_org ■ @BelferCenter @Princeton ■ PhD @Columbia ■ science & technology, natural language, 美中关系Justine Marechalle @FrancStrateg
0 Followers 21 Following Explorer les intersections de la stratégie géopolitique française et des innovations mondiales en matière de défense.Laurent Dubois @SecurLaurentD
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5 Followers 18 Following The fog of war is a real phenomenon, but the internet is helping us overcome it ⚔️️Julian King @findefforecast
3 Followers 20 Following Bridging finance and defense tech to forecast the future.Victoria Tan @androtechie
0 Followers 21 Following Navigating tech & defense with a touch of stardust ✨Sergio Colombetti @secolo79
67 Followers 1K FollowingFarzad Seifikaran @FSeifikaran
45K Followers 2K Following Journalist @BBCPersian | Former Editor @RadioZamaneh | Writer | OSINT |Cenk Gökberk @CGokberk
123 Followers 4K Following @itu1773 @UConn | Systems Engineer • Radar&EW Systems | interested in Turkish History, IR, International Security, Military HistoryThomas Müller-Färbe.. @TMueFae
5K Followers 6K Following Lead Intl. Affairs @EA_Loccum Dialogues on security/peace issues (#ArmsControl #MENA #EastEurope) Ex: @GermanyDiplo @HarvardWCFIA @thehertieschool @SWPBerlinKiev Advocate @tyrantfoekyiv
3 Followers 22 Following Défendre les démocraties contre la tyrannie, un post à la fois.Joseph Anderson @CyDroneWarJoe
5 Followers 21 Following Faire le pont entre la guerre historique et la technologie moderne des drones et de la cyber.Flag Raiser @worldflagvoice
2 Followers 22 Following Amplifier les voix, de à , pour la défense mondiale!Kimberly Peh @kimberly_peh
455 Followers 2K Following Postdoc at CGSR @Livermore_Lab. Accelerator @StanleyConnect. #nuclear #crisis #conflictprevention. Usual caveats. @notredame @UNC @NUSingapore #firstgenGrace Parker @GPDefStrategy
1 Followers 21 Following Here to push the boundaries of defense and techno-strategy. ☕️Alaric Braithwaite @AB_HealthGuard
6 Followers 21 Following Upholding truth and health in a world of chaos.Marlon Seawatch @mseawatchnav
3 Followers 21 Following NavalGazer - Deep dives into the sea of maritime strategies and legacies.Ethan Clarke @TechFrontEthan
7 Followers 20 Following Exploring the frontiers of defense tech ️ #CyberDefense카멜리아 @iwtutcte
33 Followers 435 Following anti imperialist, pacifist, fighting for disarmament ~~ it's either water for all, or champagne for a few 🌟Javier Moreno @marsecjavi
1 Followers 21 Following Avanzando la seguridad marítima a través de la innovación española.Margaret Lin @margklinn
18 Followers 44 Following Former intern @southeastasiadc, @asg. Current intern @IISS_org Asia. Interested in export control/sanction compliance, maritime affairs in the Asia-Pacific.James Slice @W90LS2LDnk
179 Followers 3K Following UCalgary IR studies. Learning about SSA and PRC foreign policy. Retweets are bookmarks, mostly. He/Him.Leonardo Bandarra @leocbandarra
574 Followers 954 Following Postdoc @unidue @VeSPoTec | Sr Research Associate @WMDfreeME | PhD @uniGoettingen & @GIGA_Institute | Alma Mater @unb_oficial #Nuclear 🇧🇷🇩🇪Bradders617 @bradders617
7 Followers 16 FollowingTobias Schneider @miltechtobias
8 Followers 21 Following Verteidigungsstratege mit Schwerpunkt auf fortschrittlichen Militärtechnologien und internationalen Sicherheitsdynamiken.Florian Müller @DefTechFlorian
8 Followers 22 Following Experte für Verteidigungstechnik und transatlantische Sicherheitskooperationen.jumpei ishimaru @IshimaruJu71422
116 Followers 375 Following Research Assistant at the Japan Chair Programme @IISS_orgJarmo Viinanen @Amb_Viinanen
3 Followers 71 Following Ambassador for Strategic & Arms Control, MFA Finland. This is my new account, can't access my old account @JarmoViinanenErcan Caner @ercancaner1963
7K Followers 7K Followingmanic_street @MStreet64
57 Followers 1K Following @BASIC_int alum👨🎓| cyberstalker👮♂️| sex offender👮| misogynist 🚮 | pacifist ☮️|Jessica Berlin @berlin_bridge
123K Followers 887 Following Security & foreign policy | Ex-🇦🇫🇨🇳🇲🇲🇷🇼🇬🇧🇺🇸 | Sr Fellow @cepa | Capital 🇩🇪 40u40 | ☕️ https://t.co/bJJwJ9yq8b | Don’t just get mad, get busyMinna Ålander 🌻 @minna_alander
55K Followers 2K Following Research Fella @FIIA_fi & @cepa fellow. Nordic security & defence, 🇫🇮&🇩🇪 foreign & sec pol. Plot twist: not from Åland. Rants my own. 📸©️ Sasa StrainovicBenjamin Tallis 🇺�.. @bctallis
38K Followers 7K Following International Politics & Security | #NeoIdealism | Democratic #GrandStrategy | #Zeitenwende |🇺🇦🇪🇺🇩🇪🇨🇿🇬🇧 | #BerlinsideOut Pod |T=personal. RT≠agree.Edward Hunter Christi.. @EHunterChristie
31K Followers 2K Following Senior Research Fellow @FIIA_fi. PhD @VUBrussel & Belgian Royal Military Academy. Former @NATO official 2014-2020. Views my own.Mart Kuldkepp @martku.. @KuldkeppMart
18K Followers 2K Following Professor of Estonian and Nordic History @UCL | Regular contributing writer @postimees | Moral clarity enjoyer. Own views only.Gustav C. Gressel @GresselGustav
42K Followers 2K Following Senior policy fellow @ECFRWiderEurope @ECFR, PhD, specialised on security, defence, military | NATO, EU, Eastern EuropeHans Kristensen @nukestrat
50K Followers 684 Following Director, Nuclear Information Project, Federation of American Scientists. Tracking nuclear arsenals, writing Nuclear Notebook, SIPRI Yearbook. Opinions my own.Sergey Radchenko @DrRadchenko
69K Followers 3K Following Historian of the Cold War and after. Wilson E. Schmidt Distinguished Professor @KissingerCenter @SAISHopkins.Henri Vanhanen @HenriVanhanen
14K Followers 380 Following Author. Connoisseur of foreign and security policy.Pavel Podvig @russianforces
46K Followers 713 Following Russian nuclear forces, nuclear arms control, disarmament, verification. Strictly personal views here. All coordinates are at https://t.co/QgmWsijsuKHeather Williams @heatherwilly
14K Followers 1K Following Director, Project on Nuclear Issues & Senior Fellow, Intl Security, CSIS @csisponi | Assoc Fellow, Managing the Atom, Harvard Kennedy School @ManagingtheAtomDr. Jeffrey Lewis @ArmsControlWonk
107K Followers 2K Following Professor at @MIIS, staff at @JamesMartinCNS, host of the @ACWpodcast & member of @StateDept Int’l Security Advisory Board. All opinions are my own.François Heisbourg @FHeisbourg
38K Followers 1K Following Senior advisor for Europe, IISS, conseiller spécial/special adviser FRSSteven Pifer @steven_pifer
39K Followers 914 Following Affiliated with Stanford's CISAC & Brookings. Retired Foreign Service officer; former US ambassador to Ukraine. Interests include nukes, Europe & mountains.Farah Dakhlallah @NATOpress
155K Followers 2K Following Official Twitter account of the @NATO Spokesperson, Farah Dakhlallah. RT/follow doesn't mean endorsement. #WeAreNATOJack Watling @Jack_Watling
54K Followers 1K Following Senior Research Fellow - Land Warfare, Military Sciences, @RUSI_org; Global Fellow, @kennaninstitute, @TheWilsonCenter; PhD History.Christian Mölling @Ce_Moll
24K Followers 1K Following Security, Defence, Tec, Industry ... & Food @dgapev, ex @gmfus @SWPBerlin @EUISS @RUSI_org @FRS_org... private accountAnkit Panda @nktpnd
81K Followers 1K Following Nuclear policy, Asia, missiles, & space. Stanton Senior Fellow, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace; Author of ‘KIM JONG UN AND THE BOMB’ (Hurst/Oxford)Jana Puglierin @jana_puglierin
30K Followers 996 Following Head of @ECFRBerlin. 🇩🇪 & 🇪🇺 foreign, security & defense policy; transatlantic relations. FirstGen. ❤️ for Claire Underwood.Rose Gottemoeller @Gottemoeller
23K Followers 219 Following Steven C. Házy Lecturer @FSIStanford @StanfordCISAC. Research Fellow @HooverInst. Former @NATO Deputy Secretary General.Colby Badhwar 🇨�.. @ColbyBadhwar
23K Followers 371 Following Security columnist @InsiderEng | Defense news/analysis with an emphasis on procurement, arms sales & 🇺🇦 military aid. | RT≠endorsement. Opinions=mine.Ellie Cook @ellliecoook
563 Followers 643 Following Security and Defense Reporter @Newsweek Slide into my DMs: [email protected] Celery hater and sangría enthusiastMargaret Lin @margklinn
18 Followers 44 Following Former intern @southeastasiadc, @asg. Current intern @IISS_org Asia. Interested in export control/sanction compliance, maritime affairs in the Asia-Pacific.Leonardo Bandarra @leocbandarra
574 Followers 954 Following Postdoc @unidue @VeSPoTec | Sr Research Associate @WMDfreeME | PhD @uniGoettingen & @GIGA_Institute | Alma Mater @unb_oficial #Nuclear 🇧🇷🇩🇪Jovanni Tyler @TylerJovan64730
2 Followers 8 FollowingMike Black @MikeBlack114
9K Followers 639 Following Former USAF aircraft/munitions maintenance officer, current basically doing the same thing but not wearing camo pajamas to work Views are mine, not AF/DoD/etcRussian Mission Vienn.. @mission_rf
11K Followers 757 Following Постпредствo России при международных организациях в Вене | Russian Permanent Mission to the International Organizations in ViennaDept.of Arms Control,.. @CHNMFA_DAC
880 Followers 165 Following Official account of the Department of Arms Control, MFA, PRC 中国外交部军控司官方推特Steve Gutterman @sgutterman
2K Followers 2K Following Editor, Russia, Ukraine, Belarus at RFE/RL. Author of The Week In Russia, host of The Week Ahead In Russia. Likes/reposts are not necessarily endorsements.Malcolm Chalmers @MChalmers_RUSI
3K Followers 324 Following Malcolm is Deputy Director General at the Royal United Services Institute in London.French Trackers & Spo.. @FrenchTrackers
8K Followers 231 Following 📡🇫🇷 French airspace monitoring, military aircraft movements... By a team of 5 | Member of @MATA_osint | #ROSO #OSINTThe 🇫🇷 Joint St.. @FrenchForces
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459 Followers 782 Following 🇵🇷 de Toa Alta - Associate Analyst @CNA_org - I write about 🇷🇺 + European Security for the military-intellectual complex - Opinions my ownJohn Ridge 🇺🇸 �.. @John_A_Ridge
17K Followers 2K Following Physics | Munitions Understander | Missile Appreciator | Complex Azimuth Raider | NATSEC/Defense | Contributor @tochnyi | Donate @BackAndAlive | #NAFOMarek Kohv @MarekKohv
70 Followers 170 Following Head of Security & Resilience Programme @ICDS_Tallinn. Formerly National Security & Defence Coordination, Government Office. Ex-intel, ex-mil. Personal views.Sascha E. Ostanina @SaschaOstanina
678 Followers 574 Following Political and Security Risk Analyst. EU Security Policy Fellow at @DelorsBerlin. Specialised in: Ukraine, Russia, Belarus, Moldova, and the South CaucasusNatalia Golysheva Dei.. @natalia_deis
1K Followers 2K Following Journalist & Producer @bbcworldservice | story hunter & media strategist https://t.co/jjC95z1a8G | DPhil hopeful @UniofOxford, @UCLA_Law alumnaPatrick Porter @PatPorter76
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293 Followers 304 Following Swedish/German Probably mad right now. Handle with care.FASS - AIR UNIVERSITY.. @fass_air
1K Followers 124 Following Faculty of Aerospace and Strategic Studies | Air University, Islamabad.Aiza Azam @Aiza_Azam
2K Followers 554 Following PhD Candidate & Educator | Editor in Chief Strafasia | EUI Policy Leaders alumna | Part time Travel Writer | FoodieThe Naked Scientists @NakedScientists
54K Followers 2K Following Based at Cambridge University, we make science radio programmes for the BBC and other broadcasters and host a website and podcast.sven sakkov @sakkov
6K Followers 344 Following Ambassador of 🇪🇪 to 🇫🇮. Former director of ICDS (@ICDS_Tallinn). Former director of NATO Cyber Center (@ccdcoe). Former POLDIR of @MoD_Estonia.Konrad Schuller @SchullerKonrad
9K Followers 4K Following And because you not always can keep your eyes shut, there comes the trouble. (Joseph Conrad). Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung. Ukraine.IFRI @IFRI_
45K Followers 18K Following Leading French think tank dedicated to the analysis of international issues and global governance.Paul Fraioli @pfraioli
300 Followers 642 Following Senior Fellow and Editor of Strategic Comments @IISS_org; writing a book on nuclear risk (2025)Ana Relvas França @AnaRFranca
11K Followers 4K Following Repórter @Expresso | Escrevi Ali Está o Taras Shevchenko com um Tiro na Cabeça @edtintadachina | ex-bylines no @Telegraph, @Monocle24, @NewStatesmanThe Red Line - Podcas.. @TheRedLinePod
4K Followers 2K Following Geopolitics - History - Economics Deep Dives into One Big Geopolitical Issue, Every Fortnight Often hosting Spaces #spaceshost Host=@MikeHilliardAusMichito Tsuruoka / �.. @MichitoTsuruoka
46K Followers 2K Following Associate Prof, Keio U / int'l security & Eur politics / PhD KCL 慶應義塾大学総合政策学部准教授/戦略構想センター(Keio Center for Strategy)副センター長/『EU離脱』『欧州戦争としてのウクライナ侵攻』/返信は原則実名アカウントのみJonathan McDowell @planet4589
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81K Followers 5K Following ★★★★★ Telegraph ★★★★★ Independent ★★★★★ Record Collector ★★★★★ Mojo ★★★★★ The Arts Desk ★★★★ Q Enquiries: Antony Topping: [email protected]Stephan Klement 🇪�.. @Amb_Klement_EU
3K Followers 151 Following EU Special Envoy for Non-proliferation and Disarmament and Special Adviser on Iran Nuclear IssueAmb. SHEN Jian @Amb_ShenJian
151 Followers 224 Following Ambassador for Disarmament Affairs of China and Deputy Permanent Representative to GenevaHéloïse Fayet @HFayet
8K Followers 1K Following Chercheuse #nucléaire & #MoyenOrient au Centre des études de sécurité @IFRI_. Egalement déléguée générale @wiisfrance et fellow @yglntweets. Tweets are my own.brianweeden @brianweeden
10K Followers 1K Following Space policy wonk, former engineer, husband, father, all around geek. I tweet things I find insightful, informative, or provocative. All views and are my own.Scott Tilley 🇺🇦 @coastal8049
22K Followers 408 Following The most important senses are the ones you build to make you aware of the invisible energy surrounding us all. NOTE: time is always UTC here.Paulus Houthuijs @PHouthuijs
63 Followers 67 Following Web Editor for the Dutch public broadcaster NOS. Doesn't engage in discussions on Twitter, so send me an e-mail instead: [email protected]Mélanie Rosselet @MelanieRosselet
1K Followers 2K Following Diplomate 🇨🇵 Experte associée @CIENS_ENS. Compte personnel. Usual caveats.Dan "the Legal Jugger.. @DanKaszeta
40K Followers 8K Following Author. National security and CBRN expert. "King of Nerve Agent Twitter" Ex US Army and USSS. Liveryman of London. 🇺🇸🇬🇧 dual cit, ex-verger. #NAFO.Dr Elizabeth Buchanan @BuchananLiz
9K Followers 3K Following Polar Geopolitics & Strategic Studies / Associate @IRSEM1 / Senior Fellow @ASPI_org / Expert Associate @NSC_ANU / FMR @NATO_DefCollege / FMR @DefenceAustOndrej Ditrych @oditrych
2K Followers 658 Following Senior Analyst @EU_ISS #Russia Eastern Neighbourhood 🇪🇺@walberque Being a Schedule 3 chemical in the Chemical Weapons Convention, chloropicrin als had to be declared, and that is still the case for new production since 1993.
Great to see a too rare (on social media) courteous debate between @zhaot2005 and @Matt_Costlow about US-China nuclear issues triggered by Tong’s recent excellent article. 👍 foreignaffairs.com/china/real-mot…
Immediate click. For those of you who do not know, Tong Zhao is a go to resource in understanding Chinese government thinking on nuclear issues.
Excited to share thoughts w/ @ForeignAffairs on the underlying drivers of China's nuclear expansion, the implications for US-China security & overall relations, and essential measures needed to address core issues in nuclear and broader bilateral ties. 1/2 foreignaffairs.com/china/real-mot…
Cyber Program Lead @a_pytlak was recently interviewed by @walberque on @IISS_org's The Arms Control Poseur to discuss emerging #cyber threats and the challenges for better global cyber governance. iiss.org/podcasts/arms-…
...however, the Russian leadership might become increasingly desperate for a breakthrough, and chemical weapons might beckon." We appear to now have reached that point. /END
In @washingtonpost 2 years ago, I concluded: "As long as Russia retains considerable conventional capacity to wage war in Ukraine, its cost-benefit analysis might favor chemical restraint. Should the progress of its military campaign continue to be slow and frustrating,... /11
If the US allegations are accurate, this would suggest Russia sees CW as weapons with some tactical utility on the battlefield Chloropicrin, which Russia is accused of using, was widely used as CW agent in World War I, but is no longer authorized for military use, per @CNN /10
First problem: #Russia argues that it doesn't have any CW to begin with, the file is formally closed @OPCW: x.com/hannanotte/sta… Other procedural problems abound, so not sure what more the US can do at this point other than to impose sanctions, as it just did. /9
What will happen, should #Russia use #ChemicalWeapons (CW) in #Ukraine as it escalates in the Donbas? Russia’s tactics @OPCW & UNSC over CW use in #Syria & the Navalny poisoning offer good indications. Bottom line: Attribution/accountability will be a very hard lift Thread /1
These past precedents show that pursuing attribution/accountability for CW use @OPCW or UN - and not just making a unilateral determination and imposing unilateral sanctions, as the US just did - will be a tall order. /8
My argument was based on following Russia's handling of CW use by its ally Assad in #Syria, of the Skripal and @navalny poisonings & Russia's political and procedural navigation @OPCW for years. Here some useful context: x.com/hannanotte/sta… and carnegiemoscow.org/commentary/860… /7
At the time, I argued in @washingtonpost that deterring any Russian CW use in Ukraine would be tall order, since neither the threat of economic sanctions, nor of diplomatic fallout or international opprobrium, would likely suffice to deter Russia /6 washingtonpost.com/outlook/2022/0…
At that time, Russia itself formally & frequently accused Ukraine of preparing to stage "chemical provocations" mid.ru/ru/foreign_pol… Ukraine, US, UK, EU refuted Russian allegations and @OPCW has since compiled a long dossier of states parties' correspondence on the matter /5
Now, the issue is not new: Early into the full-scale invasion, there were concerns Russia might use CW in Ukraine - for instance, against the Azovstal in besieged #Mariupol, remember? nytimes.com/2022/05/04/sci… /4
@CNN reports that the US conclusion tallies with testimony from Ukrainian troops who say they have faced increased encounters with gas and other irritant chemicals on parts of their frontline with Russia’s forces in recent months. edition.cnn.com/2024/05/01/eur… /3
The US statement says that "the use of such chemicals is not an isolated incident, and is probably driven by Russian forces’ desire to dislodge Ukrainian forces from fortified positions and achieve tactical gains on the battlefield”. /2
Yesterday, the US State Department formally accused #Russia of using chemical weapons (CW) against Ukraine, violating the Chemical Weapons Convention. It also said Russia had used riot control agents as a method of warfare in #Ukraine. state.gov/imposing-new-m… 🧵/1
Excellent thread on the possible use of chemical agents by Russia in Ukraine. Highly problematic development as it is another sign of Russia moving away from arms control obligations.
Yesterday, the US State Department formally accused #Russia of using chemical weapons (CW) against Ukraine, violating the Chemical Weapons Convention. It also said Russia had used riot control agents as a method of warfare in #Ukraine. state.gov/imposing-new-m… 🧵/1
@walberque @chipmanj @B_Giegerich Noooo! You'll be sorely missed.
Macron: "it’s not as if Brexit has been wiped out, because there are consequences for the single market ... and there will be in the long term. But I don’t think it should prevent us from moving forward at full speed on strategic and military issues." economist.com/europe/2024/05…
"I’m going to tell you the truth about this. We have a Franco-German agreement with Chancellor Scholz: a move to qualified majority voting on the two main issues that still require unanimity, namely taxation and foreign policy." economist.com/europe/2024/05…