Hunter @ConvexityHunter
Derivatives / FX / Credit Have money, Have heart Santa Clara, CA Joined March 2018-
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FX Interest Rate Differentials
FX Interest Rate Differentials
$NET - Mean reversion 1) Daily candlesticks & respective liquidity levels 2) Gamma exposure by strike for each tenure 3) Insider transactions 4) Market profiles Targeting $180.77 and $165.28
Note that when the /ES weekly profile's POC is lower than the previous week's, its range tends to expand (volatility increases) SPX daily candles continuing to signal uncertainty around our 4528.80 liquidity level into a massive 9/17 quarterly OpEx
$MRNA Mean reversion +4 sigma style - Pin bar daily candlestick - +4 sigma annual average - +2 sigma monthly average - RSI overbought - Market profiles indicate illiquidity of price - Friday's OpEx should clear the call positioning Downside targets of $348.83 & $313.59
Recent SPX & /ES charts Think big, but live day-by-day
$NVDA Mean reversion +3 sigma style Multiple confluence of factors at play here...targeting $799.40 and $746.29 Friday expiration open-interest positioning showing a lot of calls near the money and out of the money...might be a tough fight the next few sessions.
Four days of the tightest range SPX has seen in a while. Price is signaling uncertainty at our current liquidity level...expecting to trade lower over the next few sessions 😬
OpEx volume profile. GEX has contracted, so expect some movement this week. Targeting downside handle of 4070.25 on /ES if we can break 4134.25 Keep in mind the bigger picture: market now trading 2 sigma from the 252MA (annual trend)...very rarely does it ever trade above.
$ITMSF - Intermap Technologies volume study
$ES $SPX Long above 3822
$SPX - Buying upside convexity near market today. Asymmetry of the trade is wonderful, as this setup allows you to implement tight stops relative to your targets. However, if we begin trading below 2 sigma, the market could easily accelerate downward to the 3700 level
$DE - John Deere mean reversion trade Anticipating consolidation/distribution at the 359.51 handle this week. Lookout for strong selling by the end of the week, carrying over to the next. Downside target $317.04 if lucky...$337.51 if volume & momentum disagrees with price / time

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