Andrzej Szczepaniak @MacroMoneyTrade
Sell-side European economist. Ex Barclays/ESM/ECB **My views only** #Economics PhD @UGentFEB. Interested in #globalmacro #macroeconomics #inflation #monetary. London, England Joined December 2012-
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Mice get killed in mouse traps at all ages, old and young alike.
Mice get killed in mouse traps at all ages, old and young alike.
The price of emitting one ton of carbon by the power sector in 2025: 🇪🇺 €75 🇨🇳 €10 🇮🇳 €0 🇺🇸 €0 Carbon pricing would be a more effective climate policy if all major polluters signed up and the price mechanism was standardized. Now it's one martyr and many free-riders.
The price of emitting one ton of carbon by the power sector in 2025: 🇪🇺 €75 🇨🇳 €10 🇮🇳 €0 🇺🇸 €0 Carbon pricing would be a more effective climate policy if all major polluters signed up and the price mechanism was standardized. Now it's one martyr and many free-riders.
Reversing a 75-year trend of lower tariff rates, Team Trump's tariffs are expected to take tariff rates to 8.4% this year, the highest since 1948. Reminder: There is NO example in the history of advanced economies when sweeping tariffs had the positive effects the…
Time to buy German tech stocks? h/t @HolgerSandte
Good morning We wrote about 10-year German swap spreads turning negative for the first time in history What's driving it and why it matters 🧵 ifre.com/story/4954876/…
“Britain is gloomy, poor and highly taxed. Young people are packing their bags” The social contact between young and old is broken. The young pay in more, get less, and are made poorer by NIMBYism. Until it’s fixed UK brain drain will only get worse. telegraph.co.uk/business/2024/…
Well, actually both the EU and US are more dependent on China today than in 2019. Assessing import dependencies requires to go beyond the concentration of imports. This @CEPII_Paris policy brief 👇 shows that using a more comprehensive measure provides richer picture.
'#Markets are pricing for inflation to fall below the @ecb's 2% target as of September' @Nomura's @MacroMoneyTrade shares on the latest #Eurozone #inflation figures. #GlobelynxConnects #GlobelynxVOD
The most sophisticated way of extracting CPI implications from today's ESI details continues to point to core inflation momentum easing towards 2% by year-end.
An update of Germany's trade balance in chemicals and broader energy-intensive products with H1 data shows surpluses that are LARGER than pre-pandemic in nominal and real terms. Weak imports play a key role, but exports have remained resilient despite weak production --> GVA up?
👤 [Série d’été] - Ces jeunes leaders qui construisent la France de demain / Andrzej Szczepaniak (@MacroMoneyTrade), Vice President "European Economics" chez @Nomura Lire le portrait➡wansquare.com/012-39870-Seri…
Great being on @AsharqBusiness ahead of Thursday's @ecb meeting.
Great being on @AsharqBusiness ahead of Thursday's @ecb meeting.
Great to be on @BBCNews with @SallyBundockBBC to discuss inflation, the monetary policy fiscal policy mix, as well as our expectations for the ECB, BoE, and the Fed.
Do you want to hear our outlook for European economy? Then register free today and join us this Thursday on our webinar! events.moodys.com/mc18195-wbn-20…
Loads of charts from DB on the French elections and I thought you might be interested. First: chill, it's not that bad. EGB spread to Bund widening, GDP weighted, compared to 2017 elections
If you’re a UK citizen, did you pay £17,000 in taxes last year? If you’re a family of 4, did you pay £64k of taxes as a household? If not, someone else did on your behalf. A tiny group of people (1%) pay about 30% of the income taxes. This tiny little group of Brits aren’t…

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