MangoTree Analysis @MangotreeA
Non-target college freshman. L/S TMT. Never financial advice. RTs not endorsements. seekingalpha.com/author/mangotr… California, USA Joined January 2019-
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$amzn According to Goldman, client positioning is a 9 on the bank's 1-10 scale, and "most investors feel relaxed/confident into this quarter."
As a Penguins fan, seeing Casey DeSmith carry Vancouver to victory over Nashville is so satisfying. Wish Sullivan could've made better use of him here.
Curious to get people's thoughts on this - forgive the naivete, still learning about this: is medium/long-term fundamental alpha becoming less competitive with the rise of 'pod psychology' in fundamental investor's processes? Maybe its just my feed's bias, but it seems everyone…
Investing dogma is not environment-agnostic...
Worth adding that this isn't commentary on the issue, just on the attitude/methodology of the 'activists'.
Worth adding that this isn't commentary on the issue, just on the attitude/methodology of the 'activists'.
These were the types of kids in your AP US History class who saw the B&W March on Washington footage and thought 'OMG so inspiring, so meee'. Now, viewing themselves in that same historical light, they parade a low-energy meaningless chant for one minute in a fuckin Starbucks…
These were the types of kids in your AP US History class who saw the B&W March on Washington footage and thought 'OMG so inspiring, so meee'. Now, viewing themselves in that same historical light, they parade a low-energy meaningless chant for one minute in a fuckin Starbucks…
I've seen and shared many disturbing videos over the past six months, but I've never seen anything like this. These were the sights today in New York City. Not in Rafah. Not in Kabul. In New York City. This is domestic terrorism. (a thread)
I know it's a staple for post-IPO internet companies, but early sell-side $RDDT estimates are just too high. Projected rev. growth of mid 20s this year and next after a mid 20s growth year in '23 seems a little... aggressive. What drives that organically? Room to scale…
I'm sorry, but this game was some vintage Penguins fucking hockey.
We're so back
Adam Green says there isn't strong evidence for the life and resurrection of Christ. K –– let's see what credible scholars and historians have to say about both. To everyone reading: enjoy. 🥂 On the evidence for Christ's life/his existence as a real person: - Bart Ehrman, a…
Adam Green says there isn't strong evidence for the life and resurrection of Christ. K –– let's see what credible scholars and historians have to say about both. To everyone reading: enjoy. 🥂 On the evidence for Christ's life/his existence as a real person: - Bart Ehrman, a…
We need Jonah Hill to play Palmer Luckey in the inevitable biopic.
Cont'd.: 'The fake news is talking about the adjusted eebitdahh. It's called fake news, because they don't realize when you put the stock-based compensation back in, the $DJT might be one of the most profitable companies in history, frankly. It's tremendous but they won't cover…
Cont'd.: 'The fake news is talking about the adjusted eebitdahh. It's called fake news, because they don't realize when you put the stock-based compensation back in, the $DJT might be one of the most profitable companies in history, frankly. It's tremendous but they won't cover…
The thought just popped into my head: could you imagine if Trump were the $DJT CEO and had to take analyst questions on earnings calls? - 'Hey Donald, congrats on the quarter. Can you walk me through how your thinking about the +40000bp acceleration implied in the guide? Thanks.'…
Does some novel AI feature give iPhone owners an excuse to upgrade when $AAPL refreshes marketing in the next couple of years? Does that get us back to unit growth? How would the Services business benefit from AI? What does steady-state China demand look like?
The OpenAI team dropped more wild Sora videos. 100% AI (minus sound)🤯 8 wild ones: 1. Elephant made of leaves
Say what you will about Trump, but it's ironic that the most vocal crowd in proselytizing the brokenness of our justice system is also overwhelmingly taking this opportunity to retort "no one is above the law" and "justice being served" to this news. Utterly warped psychology.
Say what you will about Trump, but it's ironic that the most vocal crowd in proselytizing the brokenness of our justice system is also overwhelmingly taking this opportunity to retort "no one is above the law" and "justice being served" to this news. Utterly warped psychology.
I think the Twitter consensus on the Cybertruck is not reflective of real-world perception. FinTwit underestimates people's innate desire for novelty, to be different from their neighbors. If nothing else, the CyberTank provides that. Hard not to be $TSLA bull in current paradigm
DaRazor @akramsrazor
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2K Followers 2K Following Turning over rocks to find winners 🪨 TMT and Consumer (mostly).Amazon $AMZN Earnings Recap - BIG Margin, Soft Guide AWS, operating margin well ahead, but 2Q guide is notably weak in contrast. Cash generation also more modest than anticipated. Is this enough to hold the 5% initial gain?
Amazon $AMZN Earnings Setup - Will the Streak of Big, Positive Earnings Revisions Continue? Despite solid stock performance, $AMZN is actually cheaper into the print than last quarter as estimates continue to move higher.
I expect $AMZN to beat tonight, and for the CFO to call out upside from surprising strength in tents, sleeping bags and camping gear.
He knows what his doing
Random Colorado Buffs player had better hands and foot work than the UFC roster Say it ain't so.
AI-generated content in $GOOG search results continues to grow at a disturbing rate. The % of websites with AI content this month was almost twice the % last year, climbing to almost 12% The spread of AI generated content has a few implications for $GOOG and several companies…
Got some feedback:
Unfortunately, we won't be moving along with you in our process
The Social Network movie vs. real life
- Negative drip - Absolutely zero aura - Lives in a log cabin in Minnesota - Only wears quarter-zip pullovers - Bio says 'Isaiah 6.8 Football & Fishing Yeah bro is about to be a sure fire Hall of Famer
@MangotreeA @GrandTokamak Agreed, what I meant to say is that wtv their title is rn, put senior in front of it. Snr associate, snr analyst, snr spreadsheet maker it’s all semantics at the end of the day. Only two things matter here, getting paid for what you are doing and the incremental responsibility.
They get big so fast! And always ready with the right hook! No matter what side of the trade your on remember what's important!
I’m having a little bit of a tough time. My junior is unhappy that they aren’t up for a title promotion. I’ve honestly done everything I can for them. Tripled their pre-buyside comp in two years. Actually given them ownership and responsibility. How can I keep them happy?
Innovation you get when you start paying dividends
Calculator app reportedly coming to the Apple, $AAPL, iPad this year, per MacRumors.
Seeing $SNAP up 25% makes $ROKU down 9% hurt more (even though we thought Snap would be up on EPS)
I think of this a bit differently from a pitch. It’s not “pitch me a stock and convince me to own it,” to me it’s more sharing the way you pitched yourself. If you’re trying to persuade me I’m generally less interested. If the idea is really good it should kind of pitch itself.…
The act of generating alpha while running leverage + beta + factor neutral
The art of bamboo drifting
"I hate DCFs" = 1. "I can't reconcile the three financial statements in a way that corresponds to the economics I narratively express about the company."
Big tech names issuing dividends and doing buybacks
All GOOG shareholders need to thank @altcap, he told Sundar to GET FIT and Sundar listened