Predicting Elections @PredictingON18

predictingelections.com Joined May 2018

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Predicting Elections @PredictingON18

7 years ago

Got the Ford majority right but could have been more accurate on individual ridings. Be back after Super Bowl with an attempt at a model for the 2019 federal election.

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Predicting Elections @PredictingON18

7 years ago

The two ridings that are most important to watch for those hoping for a @fordnation majority are Peterborough-Kawartha and Kitchener South-Hespeler, I have PC leading in both by a good margin and if they win both that clinches them a majority #onpoli #onelxn

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Predicting Elections @PredictingON18

7 years ago

Final Update Liberals 4 -- PC 68 -- NDP 51 -- Green 1 Some ridings are very close five the NDP are close, three the PC are close, and 2 Liberals are close to catching current leader in those ridings. Won't impact outcome as PC majority is at 97.2% #onpoli #onelxn

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Predicting Elections @PredictingON18

7 years ago

June 6th Morning Update Liberals 5 -- PC 65 -- NDP 54 Probability of PC majority 63%. Probability of PC most seats >99%. The last two days the trend has been favourable to PC so I expect PC improvement in the evening update. #onpoli #onelxn

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Predicting Elections @PredictingON18

7 years ago

June 5 Election Prediction Update -- Liberals 5 -- PC 65 -- NDP 54 Change from yesterday PC +2 Liberals -2 Most ridings are cementing their current leader. NDP is near their max with little room for improvement. PC majority most likely outcome. #onpoli #onelxn

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Predicting Elections @PredictingON18

7 years ago

June 4th Election Prediction Update Liberals 7 - PC 63 - NDP 54. Only change from yesterday is Durham has switch to NDP by <100 votes. Small PC majority still most likely outcome. #onpoli #onelxn

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Predicting Elections @PredictingON18

7 years ago

June 3 Election Prediction Update -- Liberals 7 -- PC 64 --- NDP 53. Change from yesterday Liberals +2 and NDP -2. #onpoli #onelxn

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Predicting Elections @PredictingON18

7 years ago

June 2 Ontario Election Update -- Liberals 5 - PC 64 - NDP 55. Very little changed in seat count (Liberals -1 NDP +1) but in ridings where the NDP lead PC -- the lead is decreasing and if the trend continues then PC seat count will increase next update. #onpoli #onelxn

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Predicting Elections @PredictingON18

7 years ago

May 30th Election Prediction Update Liberals 6 -- PC 64 -- NDP 54. Seven ridings changed resulting in a loss of four for the Liberals and a gain of four for the NDP. #onpoli #onelxn

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Predicting Elections @PredictingON18

7 years ago

May 29th Election Prediction Update -- Liberals 10 - PC 64 - NDP 50. The Liberals are down 3 from yesterday, PC have gained 1 and NDP have gained 2. #onpoli #onelxn