Kalog @TheEdgeRaven
degenerate gambler NYC Joined December 2019-
Tweets1K
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Kalog retweeted
Today, I announced my departure from @CFTC. After more than seven years at the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, I will be stepping down from my position as Chairman on January 20th. My final day at the Commission will be Friday, February 7th. A 🧵
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Kalog retweeted
@halieywelchx wild you woke up on the last day of the market 😭
Been thinking this too. Love to see a diversity of markets but also need to tread carefully in this brave new world
Been thinking this too. Love to see a diversity of markets but also need to tread carefully in this brave new world
How many on the marketing teams at these companies do you think are aware of prediction markets?
Hello, old friend
Hello, old friend https://t.co/5BfTbVhv0n
You should be extremely bullish on AOC's political prospects
You should be extremely bullish on AOC's political prospects
This is kind of the elephant in the room when it comes to prediction market legalization and probably a large factor in why the CFTC can often hesitate to loosen regulations. Tweet below is implying a hypothetical scenario where a biolab insider with top security clearance may…
This is kind of the elephant in the room when it comes to prediction market legalization and probably a large factor in why the CFTC can often hesitate to loosen regulations. Tweet below is implying a hypothetical scenario where a biolab insider with top security clearance may…
Submitted my first market to @Kalshi today: "Who will be the Democratic nominee for governor in Michigan?" apnews.com/article/michig…
Speculating here but I wouldn't rule out some sort of a quid pro quo agreement between DeSantis and Trump. Ron gets promised SecDef and Lara becomes a senator apnews.com/article/lara-t…
TIME releases its POTY shortlist: time.com/7200122/person… The only alternative to DJT I am moderately concerned about is Netanyahu who doesn’t even have a contract on @Kalshi. Gut says it won’t be Elon. And I’ve hedged Kamala so cheap that I’ll actually win a bigger profit if…
TIME releases its POTY shortlist: time.com/7200122/person… The only alternative to DJT I am moderately concerned about is Netanyahu who doesn’t even have a contract on @Kalshi. Gut says it won’t be Elon. And I’ve hedged Kamala so cheap that I’ll actually win a bigger profit if…
Trump's case for @TIME Person of the Year 2024: kalshi.com/markets/kxtime… - Legal issues dominate headlines early in the year: E. Jean Carroll, NY fraud trial, hush money trial, SCOTUS immunity ruling - Campaign kicks into full swing - Survives assassination in Butler, PA and…
I bet against btc crossing 100k yesterday, chasing a 10x, and got punished. @Bitcoin, I'm sorry I doubted you. I'm just grateful I didn't get bamboozled by the hawk tuah girl.
I bet against btc crossing 100k yesterday, chasing a 10x, and got punished. @Bitcoin, I'm sorry I doubted you. I'm just grateful I didn't get bamboozled by the hawk tuah girl.
My favorite thing about prediction market traders is that success requires them to be objective enough to evaluate without political bias. This means the best traders are rarely, if ever, hyper-partisan, a welcome respite from most other political spaces in this day and age
Kalog retweeted
@TheEdgeRaven My only regret is not putting more up. I was gonna put another 1k at least this week on it but was freeing up capital from other markets and decided I would still have time. Big mistake lol
This is one of those outcomes that seems so cut and dry in hindsight– of course a father will do anything to protect his son, right? But the previous odds prove it wasn’t really so obvious, and indeed I really struggled to form a strong conviction on this one myself, no pun…
This is one of those outcomes that seems so cut and dry in hindsight– of course a father will do anything to protect his son, right? But the previous odds prove it wasn’t really so obvious, and indeed I really struggled to form a strong conviction on this one myself, no pun…
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