New from @EquisResearch 🧵
About a quarter of Latinos who supported Trump in 2024 either express disappointment in him (19%) or regret their vote (8%).
And, there continue to be signs of defection from GOP: 11% of Trump voters say they plan to support a Democrat in 2026.
"Folks who were telling us they were set on voting for a Republican... moved away from the Republican camp and into this neither/undecided bucket. So, [there is] movement away from Republicans, but not quite yet towards Democrats" npr.org/2025/08/13/nx-…
NYC primary breakdown by country of origin: Mamdani wins Mexican & South American precincts, Cuomo leads among Puerto Ricans, and Dominican areas are split
Más sobre #EleccionesEcuador2025
¿De dónde surge el margen abrumador de Noboa?
Con el conteo del CNE terminado: Noboa recibió 1.3 millones de votos más que en 1era vuelta; González recibió apenas 160 mil más.
Texto publicado hoy en @GKecuador
🧵
1/14
gk.city/2025/04/15/com…
Crawford slightly outperformed Protasiewicz '23 in MKE Hispanic precincts. What stands out even more is the turnout surge relative to 2023. It seems like Latino 2024 voters were less likely to vote Tuesday than others, but were still much more likely to show up than in 2023.
Crawford slightly outperformed Protasiewicz '23 in MKE Hispanic precincts. What stands out even more is the turnout surge relative to 2023. It seems like Latino 2024 voters were less likely to vote Tuesday than others, but were still much more likely to show up than in 2023. https://t.co/glqkTJzhsm
In WI special, Crawford outperformed Harris more in majority Hispanic precincts than elsewhere in MKE. But turnout in those areas was also lower. Another sign that Trump’s strength seems to lie with Latinos who don’t who up in these kinds of elections?
Dems joking about wanting voter ID now that they benefit from low turnout is really gross. Comes across like they don’t care about voters of color (who are disproportionately impacted by voter ID laws) now that they’re a smaller part of their coalition.
This is cool: cast vote records (CVR) in Washoe (NV) allow us to see the choices voters made on the whole ballot. Overall, 5.8% of Trump voters went for Rosen, 5.5% went "none of the above" or 3rd party, and 1% skipped.
(And there was more splitting in Latino precincts...)
Our early look at the Latino vote was based on precinct-level analysis led by the brilliant @_juancmac@mjavierrod. Here is a partial round-up of that work…
11 Followers 54 FollowingWorking can change your destiny, your spirit, and your entire life. One day I will succeed. Not right away, but I will succeed.
3K Followers 5K FollowingDigi @IndivisibleTeam at last @IndivisiUnion 4ever. Was @TextOutApp “He's a slow swimmer🏊 but they know when to breathe” I can opt you out. Banner: Simon NO
1K Followers 896 FollowingResearch Director @UCLAlatino, Dr. in Sociology @UMassAmherst. Former consultant for @MigrationPolicy. -@Middlebury and @UWC_IO alum - Retweet ≠ endorsement.
5K Followers 284 FollowingProfessor of Political Science @uwmadison. Director of @electionscenter. First gen college grad. Native Ohioan. Also https://t.co/nDLksfa2QQ
131 Followers 544 FollowingCurrently comms for @equisresearch. Dacamented. 🇻🇪
Former @newcostrategies @AmyKennedy715, @BerlinRosen & @npstrategygroup. Views are my own.
1K Followers 2K FollowingAssistant Dean of Graduate Studies @VAunion1865 Graduate Center NY, bylines in Gotham Gazette, @citylimitsnews, @cityandstateny, political analyst @univisionny.
79K Followers 4K FollowingHead of Data Science at Blue Rose Research, based in NYC, originally from Miami. I try to elect Democrats. Views are my own. he/him🌹
546 Followers 1K Followingnational elections director & western regional political director @unitehere || the labor movement || Giants, Niners, Dubs fan
130K Followers 2K FollowingAuthor and writer. “Dawn of Eurasia,” “Geopolitics for the End Time,” “Belt and Road,” “History Has Begun,” and the definitive masterpiece, “World Builders”
4K Followers 2K FollowingCARECEN-Los Angeles was founded by 1980s refugees. We support Central American & other immigrants, defend human rights, and work for social & economic justice
3K Followers 151 FollowingOrganización política para impulsar la estrategia, ciencia y estructuras necesarias para revertir la opresión de las mexicana/os y latinoamericana/os en EEUU.
37K Followers 504 Following🇵🇭 personal account 😎 CPA 🤓 community 💚 corgis 🦊🦊 dj 🎧. This account is being used for campaign purposes by Mejia for City Controller 2026
131 Followers 544 FollowingCurrently comms for @equisresearch. Dacamented. 🇻🇪
Former @newcostrategies @AmyKennedy715, @BerlinRosen & @npstrategygroup. Views are my own.
51K Followers 3K Followingdottore, ingegnere, avvocato
When the Clock Broke: Con Men, Conspiracists, and How America Cracked Up in the Early 1990s — out now from @fsgbooks
213K Followers 1K Following1. Writer, The Nation https://t.co/jXzkyM3ou3… 2. email: jeetheer1967 at gmail dot com 3. Twitter essayist 4. Drawn by Joe Ollmann *e4dccb3d
15K Followers 2K FollowingSpecial Correspondent at Vanity Fair. Contributing Opinion Writer at the New York Times. Writing a book about rural California and the idea of the frontier
79K Followers 4K FollowingHead of Data Science at Blue Rose Research, based in NYC, originally from Miami. I try to elect Democrats. Views are my own. he/him🌹
1K Followers 2 Following@TargetSmart builds & maintains the voter file for the Progressive community. Follow this handle for up to the minute voter file updates.
2K Followers 805 FollowingAssociate Director of Research @DemocracyFund;
Research Director for Voter Study Group;
Previously @PRRIpoll @amprog Ed. committee @ps_polisci;
Polisci PhD
18K Followers 4K FollowingReporter. I cover the border and Latino communities. Recent work in @NewYorker, @NYTimes, @TexasMonthly, @POLITICOMag. Roll your RRs. Jackherrerx /at/ gmail
2K Followers 2K Following@AP philanthropy reporter covering gen z & tech / 👨🎓@medillschool / ✊@apnewsguild / formerly @Report4America in South Carolina / st. louis boy / ask 4 signal
7K Followers 906 FollowingAssociate Professor of Political Science and Statistics & Data Science @Yale / @ISPSYale. Pittsburgh native. Married to @armon. 🏳️🌈
929 Followers 3K FollowingPartner @gbaostrategies, pollster, mathlete, vinyl collector, sometimes outdoorsy, and mom. Thoughts, opinions, and lack of tweets my own.
448K Followers 1K Followingchief political analyst, @nytimes. writing about elections, public opinion and demographics for @UpshotNYT. polling and needling. PNW expat.