catechwilliams@yahoo @catechwilliams
Center for Advanced Sciences. Cambridge Einstein Scholar; Ph.D. Philophy (Oxon); Ph.D. Applied Mathematics (MIT); JD/ MBA (Stanford). Joined June 2015-
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$GMS Underfollowed building products distributor, HSD growth, favorable mix shift/ margin, tracking to beat estimates, trading at 10x EPS, 7x EBITDA. Peers at >50% higher multiples. $HD just acquired lower quality peer SRS for 17x EBITDA. GMS = $240 or +150% at that multiple.
$CVGW Situation getting : 1) being investigated by SEC, DOJ for bribery, cartel dealings, 2) intensely competitive biz, losing customers/ share w zero earnings; 3) sale of struggling prepared segment faltering. None of this is priced-in yet. Next 2 quarters likely a disaster.
$LYTS Very attractive acq of EMI following successful prior M&A blueprint--significant cross-selling op, cost reduction, expands product set which further solidifies dominant national position. Seeing +50% upside to shares from here.
$DAKT. Over the last 3 weeks have won several large upgrades—Colorado, UVa football stadiums. Each $15M projects to boost backlog and revenue >10% in the next quarter, further solidifying dominant market position. shorturl.at/iGJO6
$DTC Market awakening to strat alts noted yesterday. “We are currently undergoing a full strategic review of every key facet of our company...have engaged a leading strategic firm.” Multiple assets to sell. New CEO from $VSTO. 7x EPS, high SI. Large upside on any favorable news.
$GMS Ray Jay Conf right now. Tracking well ahead of recent guide—new larger wins, wallboard prices +MSD last 2 wks, accel share gains, hi margin complimentary biz organically 2x in 3 yrs. 10x P/E vs peers at 15-20x (BLDR, BLD, IBP). Long runway for growth w strong balance sheet.
$CVGW It appears DOJ and SEC are investigating for Foreign Corrupt Practices Act violations in Mexico. Could result in fines, revocation of FDA license to distribute in US. Shocking no one is considering this existential risk. fcpaprofessor.com/stay-ahead-cur…
$CART Moved forward its lock-up expiration date to 2/16 (Thursday) from the original 3/19. >65% of the shares will be eligible for sale. COO leaving, just announced a restructuring w ambitious guidance. Almost certainly did so to support the stock in advance of a secondary.
$DAKT Est $50-70M revenue project. 4 jumbotrons, 5 ribbons + software contract for 2 stadiums. daktronics.com/news/texas-tec…
$CVGW Announced expanded FCPA investigation by DOJ SEC related to Mexico ops (ie. cartel dealings). Likely large fines, potentially criminal charges. Customer losses almost certain, big grocers, restaurant chains want no association. Unclear how it isn’t down >50% on this news.
$YOU Delta just significantly expanded its Digital ID program. This service is free, more efficient than Clear and now available in Clear's core markets. Other majors will have to follow in order to compete on service. Seems like this could kill $YOU in pretty short order.
$CVGW Trainwreck coming--Delayed filing (again) due to issues w internal controls. Potential restatement? CEO has a history of playing games. Commodity business deteriorating due to competition. Desperately trying to sell-off assets.
$OXM Very strong holiday selling season based on credit card data & other trackers for core Tommy Bahama and Lilly Pulitzer brands w very minimal promotion or discounts vs modest consensus growth expectations. Stock at 9x EPS, will be providing prelim numbers at ICR in 2 weeks.
Making moves 👀 🔜 🏟️ Intuit Dome opens Summer 2024
$DAKT Just announced a substantial new project win. Estimated to be $25M in revenue to Daktronics. Yankees, Dodgers, Cubs are among those exploring potential upgrades for next season, all of which are exisiting customers. sportsbusinessjournal.com/Articles/2023/…
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6K Followers 2 Following I collect the best stock pitches from fund letters, analyst reports, twitter, blogs, etc. Sign up for the free, daily email with 3 new stock pitchesTice Brown @TicePBrown
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548K Followers 238 FollowingNews: @DukeATHLETICS Live Event Experience Improving with Daktronics Centerhung Display System. Three-display centerhung system featuring 900 square feet to entertain Blue Devils fans in 2024. bit.ly/3QqBKal #DakCollege #GoDuke
My favorite 20 accounts to follow for small-cap idea generation: 1. @Mike10947310 - Criminally underfollowed small-cap ideas 2. @catechwilliams - Smart off-the-beaten-path long/short 3. @NCSI_SA - Off-the-beaten-path microcaps 4. @finphysnerd - Independent thinker, Australian…
You can find much of it here: michaelmauboussin.com/writing
@mjmauboussin Can you please put together an almanac of your most important writings? Would love to have it in my bookshelf for reading and rereading. Thanks
@catechwilliams That's indeed a worrying development for $CVGW. If the allegations are proven, the consequences could be severe. Investors need to stay alert and monitor the situation closely. Btw, @Alphanso_AI has currently given $CVGW a rating of 2.9/10
Many of our installations are the first of their kind, much like the Clippers' double-sided halo currently nearing completion in LA. Hear directly from our founders on our installation firsts and plans for future success in the industry. youtube.com/watch?v=hTQWjf…
It's Championship Day for the #FrozenFour at Xcel Energy Center! The stage is set for the puck to drop in a few short hours. Best of luck to @BC_MHockey and @DU_Hockey today! #DakCollege #DakPro #GoPios #ForBoston 🦅 #MFrozenFour #NCAAHockey
Finally found a tenant that’s worse than a dry cleaner for strip mall guy @realEstateTrent
News: Augustana University Upgrades Facilities with Daktronics Displays. Midco Arena, Kirkeby-Over Stadium ready for improved fan experience. bit.ly/4cNHep4 #DakCollege $DAKT @GoAugie
.@SeacretsUSA uses their Daktronics LED sign to drive business, promoting their live DJs, customer loyalty programs and open hours. We're proud to partner with Selby Sign Company Inc on this project. #DakDisplays #DigitalSignage
$DAKT Interesting that Ballmer chose to work with @Daktronics "The smartphone has had a profound effect on how people interact—or don’t-at live events. The show on the floor struggles to compete with screens in hands" bloomberg.com/news/features/…
When you work with us, you can count on product quality, integrity and reliability. We test our components to ensure every athlete, score and sponsor will look amazing on day one – and for years to come. ow.ly/p8xi50QtjL3 #DakSchools
News: @TechAthletics Receives LED Displays, Scoreboard Upgrade from Daktronics. Jones AT&T Stadium features new end zone video displays, logo-shaped scoreboard and Dan Law Field at Ripp Griffin Park receives new outfield video display. bit.ly/3HRewp1 #DakCollege $DAKT
Lmaoooooo
“The Indian rupee is backed by nothing.” Me: are you sure?
@catechwilliams clear is likely a zero then, thanks for playing hah
We've had a busy and exciting 2023! Take a look at a summary of projects our teams have worked on over the past year in this Year In Review from live event venues to indoor AV to outdoor spectaculars and more! canva.com/design/DAF2suq… #DakPro #DakCollege #DigitalSignage
NEW SHORT: DocGo $DCGO Allegations of Insurance Fraud & Forgery uncovered Management has a shady past w/ connections to multiple fraudulent scheme DocGo is really a low-quality ambulance company masquerading as a tech company Full report: fuzzypandaresearch.com/docgo-employee…
Thank you, Sanjeev. And the sense of taking time to understand ideas in a book is precisely how I felt after reading Creating Shareholder Value by Professor Alfred Rappaport.
After reading the entire book I realised that I underlined almost every sentence. Can't thank you enough @mjmauboussin . Not being an mba, it took me 1 year to fully comprehend this book. I hope it's fine to not understand a book in one go.
As 2023 draws to a close, we wanted to share our Top 5 downloaded episodes of the Daktronics Experience Podcast from this past year. Enjoy! #DakPodcast
If you're headed to Times Square to celebrate the new year, check out our landing page to learn what you might see while you're there! daktronics.com/en-us/markets/… #DOOH #OOH #DigitalSignage