control^3 @controlcubed
technicals, fundamentals, sentiment analysis volumeticker.com/framework/ tomorrow Joined November 2021-
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Don't focus on the goal, don't even focus on the process that leads to the goal, focus on becoming the kind of person who enjoys the process that leads to the goal.
Mortgages 90+ days delinquent are climbing faster than in 2008
Mortgages 90+ days delinquent are climbing faster than in 2008 https://t.co/HSIkUgJob0
It gets even worse: native-born workers plunged by 561K, the biggest one month drop since August 2024. Foreign-born workers increased by 50K, the first increase since March.
It gets even worse: native-born workers plunged by 561K, the biggest one month drop since August 2024. Foreign-born workers increased by 50K, the first increase since March. https://t.co/SA9tE2FMI4
Highlights by sector (prior month): Private education, health +46k (+77k) Leisure, hospitality +28k (+6k) Retail +11k (+7k) Trade/transport +2k (+5k) Construction -7k (-1k) Temp. help -10k (-10k) Manufacturing -12k (-2k) Government -16k (+2k)
Weak print: August nonfarm payrolls +22k vs. +75k est. & +79k prior (rev up from +73k) … 2m revision -21k
BREAKING: The US economy adds 22,000 jobs in August, below expectations of 75,000. The unemployment rate RISES to 4.3%, in-line with expectations of 4.3%. This marks the 2nd lowest jobs report number since July 2021. The labor market is rapidly deteriorating.
JOLTS. Construction Quits. Leading indicator. At level not seen GFC.
This is absolutely insane: In 5 days, the BLS is set to revise US jobs numbers for the 12 months ending March 2025. According to Goldman Sachs, a DOWNWARD revision of up to -950,000 jobs is coming. This would be the biggest downward revision since 2010. What is happening…
This is absolutely insane: In 5 days, the BLS is set to revise US jobs numbers for the 12 months ending March 2025. According to Goldman Sachs, a DOWNWARD revision of up to -950,000 jobs is coming. This would be the biggest downward revision since 2010. What is happening… https://t.co/rmmFegq3SW
Rather than labor shortages or AI robot overlords, let's look at the troubling state of the economy, particularly through the lens of Dollar Tree's recent earnings report and JOLTS. Here are the three key takeaways: 1. Labor Market Concerns: The job market is experiencing…
August ISM Services PMI up to 52 vs. 51 est. & 50.1 prior … new orders up to 56 vs. 50.3 prior; prices paid down to 69.2 vs. 69.9 prior; employment up to 46.5 vs. 46.4 prior
August @ADP payrolls +54k vs. +68k est. & +106k prior (rev up from +104k) … largest gains in leisure/hospitality (+50k), construction (+16k) & professional/business svcs; largest losses in trad/trans/utilities (-17k), education and health (-12k), and mfg (-7k)
Services PMI Aug Final 54.5, Exp. 55.4
Initial jobless claims ticked up to 237k last week, above the est of 230k. Despite being seasonally adjusted, some residual seasonality remains (i.e. it's risen May-Aug, before declining Sept-Dec). The raw data is running mostly in line with 2023 and 2024.
Hedge funds were net sellers of global equities for a second straight month in August, according to Bloomberg
Orderly slide continues: July #JOLTS job openings down to 7.181M vs. 7.38M est. & 7.357M prior (rev down from 7.437M)
The US labor market is weakening: The number of Americans not in the labor force who currently want a job is up to 6.2 million, the highest since July 2021. These are people who are not officially part of the labor force, meaning they are not actively looking for work, but say…
US MBA MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS (WOW) ACTUAL: -1.2% VS -0.5% PREVIOUS
August ISM Manufacturing ticked up to 48.7 vs. 49 est. & 48 prior … new orders back in expansion, up to 51.4 vs. 47.1 prior; prices paid down to 63.7 vs. 64.8 prior; employment up to 43.8 vs. 43.4 prior
🚨BLOODY HELL: The delinquency rate on US commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) for offices SPIKED to 11.7%, an ALL-TIME HIGH. Office CMBS delinquencies are 1 percentage point above the post-Financial Crisis peak. The commercial real estate CRISIS is still getting…
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