Insight_Predict @insight_predict
Insight Prediction is a new sports & political props prediction exchange (in development), created by academics. https://t.co/mHzbImHoJv insightprediction.com Joined May 2019-
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The criticism of @AllanLichtman's model is basically that it is too subjective—that you can take these keys and then use it to say whatever you want." x.com/i/spaces/1LyGB…
Vivek says that Big Mike will replace Joe $Boden. On Insight Prediction, the odds are up to 2% (meaning you can get a 50:1 betting on yes if Vivek is right). insightprediction.com/m/16502/who-wi…
Small wonder Biden's odds of dropping out are up.
Small wonder Biden's odds of dropping out are up.
Our Open-AI AGI market is now powered with AI. That is, taking a page from Open AI, we trained a bot to take information from elsewhere, fudged it a bit, and labeled it AI. insightprediction.com/m/280984/will-…
How credible was the "credibility revolution"? How robust is empirical research in economics? We just replicated a year's worth of the American Economic Review & had economists predict robustness. Here's what we learned. econstor.eu/handle/10419/2…
In fact FTR I just used this opportunity to buy some $BIDEN positions on @InsightForecast and Manifold Markets.
In 2021, I said next US election would be Biden vs. Trump. Looks a near certainty now. I will also now say that current polling means very little and $BIDEN is a very obvious long in prediction markets that are now converging to 50/50 between him and #TRUMP.
In 2021, I said next US election would be Biden vs. Trump. Looks a near certainty now. I will also now say that current polling means very little and $BIDEN is a very obvious long in prediction markets that are now converging to 50/50 between him and #TRUMP.
New Market: Will Israel Take Khan Younis City Hall by December 15th? Initial odds around 45-47%. Note that Insight is collecting no net fees on this market (taker fees paid to makers). insightprediction.com/m/247060/will-…
Pro tip: You should probably get the air conditioners installed now. 👀
Pro tip: You should probably get the air conditioners installed now. 👀
@nikocosmonaut 95% chance temperature anomaly will be >1.13 degrees on @InsightForecast. insightprediction.com/m/243607/what-…
Will Andy Beshear Win the 2023 Kentucky Gubernatorial Election? insightprediction.com/m/246655/will-…
Israeli odds of advancing a few more kilometers and taking central Gaza City by the end of the month are still hovering in the low 60s. Bettors seemingly expect it to be tough going. insightprediction.com/m/243617/will-… #IsraelPalestineWar #IsraelPalestineConflict #Zionism #IsraelHamasWar…
@daves_000 @MarioNawfal @jacksonhinklle @RamAbdu @Musaad1l @Fahad_Heaven @Himat75 @scottlong1980 @ClancyReports @mt_sha256 @shashj @officejjsmart @LizCrokin @backadamoon @ringthatbell45 @TheLastLogger @legion_svoboda @MyLordBebo @Bowtied_Owl @HotSotin Odds of an Israeli-Hamas ceasefire by December 15th at 15-18%. insightprediction.com/m/246543/hamas… @IsraelWarRoom @yopletweets @lamelnamel @Sarah3eth @KenRoth @benshapiro @DavidAsmanfox @SometimesPooh
Odds of Israel taking possession of a central location in Gaza City by the end of the month up over 70%, according to the academic prediction market, Insight Prediction. insightprediction.com/m/243617/will-… @daves_000 @MarioNawfal @jacksonhinklle @RamAbdu @Musaad1l @Fahad_Heaven @Himat75…
Market says that there's a 26% chance someone has a Neuralink chip implanted by April 20. Seems high to me, but Elon Musk has surprised us before. insightprediction.com/m/246371/will-…
Will a human have a Neuralink chip implanted by 4/20? Current odds are around 20-26%. insightprediction.com/m/246371/will-… @RichardHanania @elonmusk #Nueralink #Science
Odds now about 60% that Israel will control central Gaza City by December 1st. insightprediction.com/m/243617/will-…
Always be innovating
Market doesn’t believe Netanyahu is going down anytime soon, he should last at least through the end of 2024. insightprediction.com/m/244230/who-w…
Which leader will go down first? Joe Biden (25%), Donald Trump (55%), Vladimir Putin (7%), and Bibi Netanyahu (12%). insightprediction.com/m/244230/who-w… @Cragsterinho @JGreenbergSez @Scatoma @RichardHanania @GuNaSol @NathanpmYoung @SSGamblers @NateSilver538 @slatestarcodex @Poyo_Satou…
Alex Keeney (fka Keen... @keendawg
3K Followers 1K Following Podcasts & stuff @ POLITICO || FMR: @ssgamblers || FOREVER: 🏄♂️☀️🏇
Avraham Eisenberg @avi_eisen
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Star Spangled Gambler... @SSGamblers
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Talophex 🇺🇸 @Talophex
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Domer❤️🔥 @Domahhhh
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Terry Oldreal @realOldTerry
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A-hole Ghost @hole_ghost
419 Followers 2K Following Ghost of an A-hole who predicts things. "Being right too soon is socially unacceptable."--Robert A. Heinlein
OutsideContextProblem @YouDownWithOCP
543 Followers 327 Following All opinions expressed are all AI generated and are the views of my AI employer Sr. Prompt Eng, 10+ yrs LOL: https://t.co/wtHz8CpWa1
Zoltar @ZoltarSSG
2K Followers 5K Following I was forged of whiskey & iron upon the jagged edge of a lightning bolt then sent on a mission by God to drop truth bombs upon the 🌎 via political forecasts.
Popinski @Popinski1
424 Followers 1K Following VBA World Circuit contender. Southpaw. Loves the soda. Marxist (aspiring limousine liberal). Cornering the market on various foodstuffs, ha ha ha!
BruceTrades @obamoracle
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Old Bull TV @OldBullTV
2K Followers 2K Following From American Civics Exchange, Flip Pidot hosts your insider's guide to political prediction markets.
MagaVacuum @MagaVacuum
327 Followers 751 Following Either arguing on Predictit or Twitter while gambling on politics. Challenged for the SSG title belt and lost. MAGAmoney taker and grad student
Fungali @AlexFungali
630 Followers 453 Following Inventor of the Fungali system. Working hard, thank you!
DeltaDivergence🇺�... @Booooho740
34 Followers 1K Following 15-30% Monthly | 2 High-Conviction Stocks.Short-Term Gains: 15-20% in Days/Weeks.DM "JOIN" for WhatsApp Alerts. Live Trade Signals • Market Analysis
Gouger @Gouger0275501
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CommodityCycles🇺�... @Awvawuqirw9045
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Hirlo @Hirlo219
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oriana helena jimene @helenn2608397
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BenGraham_Edge🇺�... @Glorsar9168437
41 Followers 2K Following 15-30% Monthly | 2 High-Conviction Stocks.Short-Term Gains: 15-20% in Days/Weeks.DM "JOIN" for WhatsApp Alerts. Live Trade Signals • Market Analysis
BiotechBets🇺🇸 @Yvloucna255
38 Followers 2K Following 15-30% Monthly | 2 High-Conviction Stocks.Short-Term Gains: 15-20% in Days/Weeks.DM "JOIN" for WhatsApp Alerts. Live Trade Signals • Market Analysis
CupAndHandleX🇺🇸 @Jiho34525
44 Followers 2K Following 15-30% Monthly | 2 High-Conviction Stocks.Short-Term Gains: 15-20% in Days/Weeks.DM "JOIN" for WhatsApp Alerts. Live Trade Signals • Market Analysis
Retrieve wallet @Zrorko6113
58 Followers 906 Following
Alexandra Weimann @AlexandraW62815
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Vaughn Rowe @RoweVaughn75573
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J. Fisher @FshrJosicle
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DeepPredict @DeepPredict_
1K Followers 46 Following In-depth forecasting that puts the future at your fingertips! Precise insights into trends to capitalize on every opportunity
JC @chelliah_joe
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Mr Paul fixedgame @paul_mr55175
471 Followers 2K Following
Mike Hawk @colosso__
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Betting Hombre @BettingHombre
91 Followers 746 Following I bet big price teams, not big name teams. https://t.co/2IWCAGe3lF
Trappard Mnyama @TrappardM14806
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ibrahim @Ibrahim70924810
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Sm Zia @SmZia239060
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Tthoshar @TthosharPE4EKu
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CCC @CcTtSs5666
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SparkChain.AI (Ø,G) ... @APranata3280995
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manpibacksor1984 @manpibacks49100
21 Followers 443 Following 💥 Join now and get 10 trades refunded + $5 airdrop + $588 bonus! Learn from the pros! 📈https://t.co/5MnH4xgLyD
Svea Jackpot @SveaJackpot
292 Followers 456 Following En jämförelse sajt för online casino. Här kan vi diskutera om allt som har med online casino att göra! Välkomna! 🔞
URi @Mohamma34779105
1 Followers 49 Following
Augur Lituus @AugurLituus
182 Followers 542 Following The frontier of prediction markets. Mission: to further Augur oracle experimentation. https://t.co/90RHmON7xC
Marchés Prédictifs @MPredictifs
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constantingao.eth @ConstantinGao
2K Followers 776 Following Chief Arc Officer 首席角度师 @GCCofCommons | 资助和支持中文区的公共建设者 | insignificant crypto anarchist | Building next-gen decentralized stablecoins
Temple @ugosamson214
84 Followers 1K Following
Antoine Marek @antoine_marek
19 Followers 175 Following
Adebayo @Adebayo324009
0 Followers 242 Following
mr. worldwide 🇨�... @MrWorldwidePI
191 Followers 513 Following political prediction markets. former ceo of worldwide traders line.
Score @webuildscore
6K Followers 633 Following The Optic Nerve of AI. Democratising visual intelligence by building an open, permissionless computer vision layer for sports and beyond. Bittensor Subnet 44
Menocchio @Menocchio111
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denasek93 @SuperDan473058
400 Followers 667 Following ⚪🔴⚪🔴⚪🔴⚪ My name is Bond. Data Bond. xG martini - shaken, not stirred #PasyDlaPasow #memowanie #fanclubLukiElsnera
Avraham Eisenberg @avi_eisen
38K Followers 1K Following Applied game theorist. blog occasionally at https://t.co/WaEeKoB8pk, formerly https://t.co/7pCTSXyDWp "not ... a very serious person" - Scott Alexander
eigenrobot @eigenrobot
101K Followers 9K Following robot. friend. diamond age mindset || footnotes at @eigenrobot_feet
Pratik Chougule @pjchougule
2K Followers 5K Following Executive Director, @CoalitionPolFor. Host, @SSGamblers. Author of book American Universities in the Middle East and U.S. Foreign Policy.
Peter Wildeford🇺�... @peterwildeford
21K Followers 318 Following Globally ranked top 20 forecaster 🎯 Working at @IAPSai to shape AI for prosperity and human freedom.
Star Spangled Gambler... @SSGamblers
2K Followers 2K Following A podcast on betting and winning real money on politics.
Talophex 🇺🇸 @Talophex
738 Followers 356 Following Surgeon General of prediction market Twitter. Too liberal for the Deep South, too conservative for the PNW.
Gaeten Dugas @GaetenD
3K Followers 392 Following Political gambler who tweets political analysis and memes, pop culture, and some sports. Appeared in WaPo, Politico, and Bloomberg. 2023 SSG Trader of Year.
Domer❤️🔥 @Domahhhh
19K Followers 838 Following Full-time political bettor since 2007. I don't tweet much, and we're all better off for it.
Senior PowerPoint Eng... @ryxcommar
49K Followers 3K Following UX Designer Internal Tools @citi | Prev: Risk Manager @AlamedaResearch, QA Engineer at Knight Capital Group | he him pronouns in bio
Bob Barker @Bob69Barker420
619 Followers 313 Following Hero dog and game show host. I play prediction markets. Started on PredictIt. I fuqing love Kalshi.
Stefan Schubert @StefanFSchubert
38K Followers 2K Following Effective Altruism and the Human Mind (with @LuciusCaviola) is available for free at: https://t.co/ozvdxlZiro
Terry Oldreal @realOldTerry
2K Followers 711 Following Prediction market degen. Bad sports better, worse father. “I said I wish I could go back to the beginning of the season, put some money on the Cubbies!”
Quantіan @quantian1
89K Followers 513 Following Voted “Most Likely To Appear on Wikipedia’s ‘List of Largest Trading Losses’” among graduating class
KJ 🐵 @BirdAppKJ
994 Followers 577 Following Fueled by Costco samples and pizza. I’m just here for the shitposts and baseball—anything more is a bonus. Ineffective altruism stan. Prediction market trader.
VeVe | Digital Collec... @veve_official
214K Followers 615 Following 💙 #CollectorsAtHeart 💯 Licensed Premium Digital Collectibles 📱 Interact W/ Characters & Comics in AR ⚒️ Create in the VeVeVerse 🌏 100% Carbon Neutral NFTs
OutsideContextProblem @YouDownWithOCP
543 Followers 327 Following All opinions expressed are all AI generated and are the views of my AI employer Sr. Prompt Eng, 10+ yrs LOL: https://t.co/wtHz8CpWa1
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Natasha Bertrand @NatashaBertrand
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OSINTdefender @sentdefender
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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
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mr. worldwide 🇨�... @MrWorldwidePI
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50 Pence @polyint
518 Followers 978 Following Top 0.0001% Polymarket | SSG Title Belt Holder | Honorary Chairman 50/50 Committee | Kamallionaire | Retweets ≠ Endorsed by Mother | My Pronouns are Yours/Mine
predict.fun @predictdotfun
6K Followers 81 Following 💵 𝚃𝚑𝚎 𝚢𝚒𝚎𝚕𝚍-𝚋𝚎𝚊𝚛𝚒𝚗𝚐 𝚙𝚛𝚎𝚍𝚒𝚌𝚝𝚒𝚘𝚗 𝚖𝚊𝚛𝚔𝚎𝚝 𝚋𝚞𝚒𝚕𝚝 𝚘𝚗 𝙱𝚕𝚊𝚜𝚝. 🔮 https://t.co/ViMEgZbdh7
Campbell | Retired on... @CampbellEaston
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Ben Burman @Benbburman
720 Followers 3K Following Investor & operator | $20M AUM | Former: early @joinrepublic
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88 Followers 16 Following ❤️🔥 Real estate & investing | Seeking the way out of the matrix that captive our souls and energy
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Frederik de Ridder @erik_deridder
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John Hay the R10 Tech @ID_3200
491 Followers 2K Following Over-educated and undercaffeinated. Market Research @ ████ 🌲🌲 NE/NYC. Catholic. Distributist. Deep Ecologist. 🌲🌲 AC0071108
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4K Followers 328 Following New Jersey || Just trying to improve myself one day at a time ✝️
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35 Followers 9 Following Insight Market Alerts. New, Expired, Resolved markets at Insight Predictions (excluding sports). Not affiliated with Insight. An independent production.
Metaforecast @metaforecast
301 Followers 1 Following I'm a 🤖 to help you find forecasts more easily. Tag me (@metaforecast) in a tweet with some search terms and I'll answer with the closest forecast I can find.
Jotto 🔍 @Jotto999
885 Followers 94 Following Needs a prefrontal-Claude. A bet is a tax on bullshit. More markets, less crime. Anonymous feedback here: https://t.co/ryto6Hwkem
Armchair Warlord @ArmchairW
133K Followers 2K Following Weaboo, author and battle theorist. Interactions are not endorsements.
James Kehoe @jamesk_090
26 Followers 217 Following
Mattathias Schwartz @Schwartzesque
14K Followers 5K Following legal affairs @nytimes; first dot last send the file to Schwartz.98 on Signal feedback welcome, DMs/coffees open
AnaeleJohnmary @Drsow13
17 Followers 297 Following MD Sixtus ventures Ltd. Businessman.Crypto investor
Rcap @roccochan621
157 Followers 3K Following when I see a bubble forming, I rush into the bath, adding shampoo to my hair.
B. A. Friedman @BA_Friedman
27K Followers 1K Following I write stuff about strategic and amphibious and sometimes post here. CLE Guardians fan. Malevelon Creek veteran.
Brother T aka Thomas ... @BrotherT4u
23 Followers 81 Following Former member of the long haired freaky people Not your average jack in the box Positivity is how I roll
Nosa #BSC @nosa_app
403 Followers 168 Following NOSA is a cross-blockchain NFT Marketplace that lets tokenize your #NFT. Transaction fees are redistributed to $NOSA holders! 🚀🎯🏆 #BSC #OpenSea #ETH #binance
War Diary @WarDiaryOffi
2K Followers 5K Following Here we talk about history and military stuff. Chauvinist Hunter Anti-NAFO, anti-pro Z
survivor @shujaat_pathan0
430 Followers 1K Following The Tiger of Imran Khan PTI and defender of Pakistan My Leader #imrankhan Graphics Designer proud #Pashtun and Pakistani
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190 Followers 637 Following
Safety Net, Inc. @SafetyNetInc1
240 Followers 3K Following Use TweetSafety for 15% off classes. Here at Safety Net Inc., we provide quality training throughout the U.S and online.
Neutralitäter @neutralitaeter
192 Followers 632 Following Meine Meinung ist meine – Deine gehört Dir!
Cathy Smith @CathySmith35
1K Followers 4K Following Believe in America, Not the media! #UltraMAGA #AmericaFirst #RescueTheRepublic #MAHA No DMTrends for United States
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