$IREN ’s Sweetwater is much larger in raw MW/GPU capacity. $NBIS ’s deal looks huge ($17.4B), but Sweetwater could theoretically support >$50B of contracts if filled with a similar contract as with Microsoft.
Big announcements usually don’t drop on Fridays, companies want a full trading week for investors to digest. For $IREN, keep your eyes on Monday for any major news in the delayed monthly report.
Shake-out before breakout dynamic: the market still trades $IREN like $MARA, when structurally it’s marching toward looking like a mini-CoreWeave.
The math points to $50 before EOY.
$IREN Technicals eventually bend to fundamentals.
Momentum traders can push price below “fair” value during shake outs, but when the next GPU delivery hits or a colocation deal closes, the fundamentals supply the catalyst for the next leg up. $50 loading...🚀
Each 50MW liquid-cooled block at $IREN ‘s Childress campus (H1 & H2) could add ~$5B to market cap.
• 50MW × $8.5M EBITDA/MW = ~$425M EBITDA
• 12–15× multiple = $5–6B value per block
H1 + H2 = $10B+ potential that is not priced in
I feel like it doesn't even need to be said. $IREN identifies Fluidstack as a demand partner in its earnings presentation. @danroberts0101 says that IREN and Fluidstack know each other quite well and that H1 is being reconfigured for diverse use cases (which would make sense if…
If you don’t think IREN can be a $100B+ company in the coming years, you’re either not paying attention or you don’t understand what’s happening in AI and Bitcoin. Sometimes the truth is hard.
Keep in mind $CRWV is still loosing money and $IREN is profitable.
If the market values $IREN at a $CRWV style multiple (~12× forward revenue):
$1.2–1.4B revenue × 12 = $14–17B market cap or $44-51 per share. The market needs to price in the 60k Blackwells they will deploy.
🤯🤯A New Paradigm shift for $IREN🤯🤯
I don't use the mind blown emoji often, but when I have used it, like I did for $IREN's BTC mining fleet around the same time last year, the predictions came out almost exactly to be true. It transformed IREN into a FCF machine.
After the…
$IREN i just learned the intern accidentally cropped the image! @danroberts0101@mikealfred
(Disclaimer: the picture is fake, just like SemiAnalysis DD and not financial advise)
On a more serious note lets have a quick look at this Dec-26E projection and why the 2026 bar…
Q1 2026 : $IREN hits 20k GPUs at Prince George: $400–500m AI EBITDA.
AI: 20× multiple = $8–10B
BTC mining ~$600m EBITDA gets 5–6× = $3–3.6B (conservative est).
AI could be worth more than the entire mining biz.
Paradigm shift = $50 per share
Now add in Childress and SW.
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