CROSS-BORDER FLOWS TO EM SOVEREIGN DEBT (Thu 24th – Wed 30th March 2022):
Not great, not terrible, on a steady road of recovery since major outflows started 4 weeks ago.
🟢BRAZIL EM Local (GBI-EM) funds (rates) allocations carry the positive run in Feb for the 4th month, getting to the highest level in over 2 years.
🔴The stock of Foreign Holdings of LC Sovereign debt registered the largest decrease since Apr 2020: ~18bn BRL (3.5bn USD) in Feb.
Positioning in JACI funds (end February):
India and Thailand were the most overweight markets in February again, while China and South Korea were again the most underweight markets.
〰️PORTFOLIO FLOWS TO SOVEREIGN DEBT
(Thu 17th – Wed 23rd March 2022):
⚪🟢Finally moving to more neutral/positive net flows.
🔸Hungary had the worst week YTD.
🔹South Africa recorded the first inflow since January
At Trounceflow, we track net flows to EM Debt, EM Equity, Asia Debt and High Yield funds DAILY.
Here are fund flows for Tuesday, March 22nd:
EMD 🟢
Asia Debt 🔴
EME 🔴
HY 🔴
🔵 South Korea's central government debt securities experienced foreign inflows of 3.5bn USD in February, making that the 14th consecutive month of net inflows.
ANOTHER AWFUL WEEK FOR PORTFOLIO FLOWS TO EM SOVEREIGN DEBT
(Thu 3rd – Wed 9th March 2022):
-The worst week in 12 months.
-Thailand was the worst performer, with the largest outflow since Mar 2020.
-South Africa recorded the worst week in years.
𝗖𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗮 Flows & Positions: February 2022 registered 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗳𝗶𝗿𝘀𝘁 𝗱𝗲𝗰𝗿𝗲𝗮𝘀𝗲 𝗶𝗻 𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿 𝟯 𝘆𝗲𝗮𝗿𝘀 from the stock of Foreign Holdings of Local Currency Sovereign Debt (-𝟭𝟬.𝟲𝗯𝗻 𝗨𝗦𝗗).
🔴 PORTFOLIO FLOWS TO SOVEREIGN DEBT 🔴
(Thu 24th February– Wed 2nd March 2022):
- The largest outflow in 3 months.
- Hungary was the only market recording a positive week.
- South Africa faced the worst week since mid-2018.
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