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Nils Sonnenberg @zonnbergo

Economist 🇪🇺🇩🇪🇦🇷💪 Joined April 2015
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zonnbergo Profile Picture

Nils Sonnenberg @zonnbergo

2 months ago

„interest rates should be lower, the balance sheet should be smaller“: IMHO QT leads to latent upward pressure on longer term yields. “low money supply leads to much lower inflation and lower interest rates“: IMHO low money supply leads to higher interest rates.@DavidBeckworth

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Nick Timiraos @NickTimiraos

2 months ago

„interest rates should be lower, the balance sheet should be smaller“: IMHO QT leads to latent upward pressure on longer term yields. “low money supply leads to much lower inflation and lower interest rates“: IMHO low money supply leads to higher interest rates.@DavidBeckworth

Nils Sonnenberg retweeted
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Stefan Kolev @OrdoliberalBG

10 months ago

Erstes Policy Paper des Ludwig-#Erhard-Forums: Markus Brunnermeiers Rede (@MarkusEconomist) beim 75. Geburtstag des Wissenschaftlichen Beirates beim @BMF_Bund. Der Text passt ideal zur aktuellen Debatte über das Papier von @c_lindner. ludwig-erhard-forum.de/wp-content/upl…

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Michael McDonough @M_McDonough

a year ago

Atlanta Fed GDPNow up to 2.5% from 2.0%: (From ECAN)

Nils Sonnenberg retweeted
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Jens Boysen-Hogrefe @HogrefeJens

a year ago

Da mich hin und wieder Fragen erreichen,was denn eigentlich eine "globale Minderausgabe" (#GMA )ist. Hier ein Erklärungsversuch: Stellen Sie sich vor, in der WG-Kasse sind wie immer 50 Euro und sie beschließen gerade den gemeinsamen Einkaufszettel. /1

Nils Sonnenberg retweeted
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Clemens Fuest @FuestClemens

a year ago

Die Probleme wachsen vor allem in der Industrie, Schwierigkeiten haben insbesondere Hersteller von Investitionsgütern. Auch der Export, der sonst häufig die Konjunktur stützt, läuft schlecht.

ifo_Institut Profile Picture

ifo Institut @ifo_Institut

a year ago

Die Probleme wachsen vor allem in der Industrie, Schwierigkeiten haben insbesondere Hersteller von Investitionsgütern. Auch der Export, der sonst häufig die Konjunktur stützt, läuft schlecht.

Nils Sonnenberg retweeted
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S&P Global PMI™ @SPGlobalPMI

a year ago

"Global economic growth trends varied markedly by sector in July. Sustained - but slower - services growth, led by financial services, contrasted with a near-stalling of output growth in the manufacturing economy." #PMI #sector Read our analysis: okt.to/zIkx13

Nils Sonnenberg retweeted
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Hyun Song Shin @HyunSongShin

a year ago

We have received many queries on what the BIS banking statistics say about the scale of the yen carry trade Here is a short thread on the topic

Nils Sonnenberg retweeted
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David Beckworth @DavidBeckworth

a year ago

I am beginning to wonder if the popular Sahm Rule is not just a predictor of recessions, but an amplifier of recessionary fears that can become self-fulfilling. cnbc.com/2024/08/05/rec…

Nils Sonnenberg retweeted
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Mohamed A. El-Erian @elerianm

a year ago

Of all the charts to pick from to illustrate the disorderly price move in markets -- and there are many to choose from in fixed income, equities, and foreign exchange -- I decided to go with this one: The VIX (commonly referred to as the market's fear index). #economy #markets

Nils Sonnenberg retweeted
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Chris Williamson @WilliamsonChris

a year ago

Eurozone #GDP is estimated to have risen 0.3% in the second quarter, broadly in line with the signal from the @SPGlobalPMI. The latter points to growth slowing at the start of Q3. More at spglobal.com

Nils Sonnenberg retweeted
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Clemens Fuest @FuestClemens

a year ago

Der Aufbau überflüssiger Bürokratie wird fortgesetzt. Das ganze Ausmaß des Schadens wird erst in den nächsten Jahren sichtbar. Europa lähmt sich selbst.

HSchaeferIW Profile Picture

Holger Schäfer @HSchaeferIW

a year ago

Der Aufbau überflüssiger Bürokratie wird fortgesetzt. Das ganze Ausmaß des Schadens wird erst in den nächsten Jahren sichtbar. Europa lähmt sich selbst.

Nils Sonnenberg retweeted
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ifo Institut @ifo_Institut

a year ago

ifo Geschäftsklimaindex gesunken - Der ifo #Geschäftsklimaindex sank im Juli auf 87,0 Punkte, nach 88,6 Punkten im Juni. Die deutsche Wirtschaft steckt in der Krise fest. #ifoUmfrage @KlausWohlrabe @FuestClemens #Geschäftslage und #Geschäftserwartungen

Nils Sonnenberg retweeted
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Daniel Kral @DanielKral1

a year ago

A familiar pattern in today's Eurozone PMIs - positive surprises early in the year give way to momentum running out. Based on the latest, Eurozone has stagnated and Germany is already in contraction (again). Let's see if the flash Q2 GDP print corroborates this next week.

Nils Sonnenberg retweeted
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Javier Blas @JavierBlas

a year ago

Average wholesale electricity price in 1H 2024: 🇪🇺: ~$70 per MWh 🇺🇸: ~$30 per MWh Source: @IEA Mid-Year Electricity Report iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/234d0d2…

Nils Sonnenberg retweeted
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European Central Bank @ecb

a year ago

We kept our key interest rates unchanged. Our rates are still high, helping push down inflation. This is still needed because inflation is likely to stay above our 2% target well into next year. Read today’s monetary policy decisions ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/…

Nils Sonnenberg retweeted
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Jens Ulbrich @ulbrich_jens

a year ago

1) Der neue #Monatsbericht der Bundesbank analysiert den aktuellen Disinflationsprozess und Auswirkungen. Frühere Disinflationen gingen oft mit Rezessionen einher. Auch jetzt hat die Straffung der Geldpolitik die Inflation gedrückt und die Konjunktur belastet.

Nils Sonnenberg retweeted
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Felix Geiger @Flx_Geiger

a year ago

1/ „The Global Disinflation and its Costs“ new report by @bundesbank colleagues: ➡️ Global economy appears to be heading towards soft landing ➡️ Compared with previous episodes, monetary policy, robust economy and other factors allowed inflation to be curbed fairly painlessly👇

Nils Sonnenberg retweeted
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Deutsche Bundesbank @bundesbank

a year ago

Hohe #Preise für Energie und Lebensmittel: Das Leben verteuerte sich Anfang 2021 vielerorts schlagartig. Was hinter diesen Preissteigerungen steckte, warum die Inflation wieder nachließ und welche Rolle #Zentralbanken spielten, lesen Sie im #Monatsbericht. bundesbank.de/content/935864

Nils Sonnenberg retweeted
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Domenico Giannone @DomenicoGiannon

a year ago

The drivers of post-pandemic inflation

zonnbergo Profile Picture

Nils Sonnenberg @zonnbergo

a year ago

Financial Times: France could trigger the next euro crisis ft.com/content/7c57e7… a través de @FT

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