Craig Setzer, CCM @CraigSetzer

AMS Board Certified Consulting (Marine) Meteorologist —-Hurricane Preparedness Specialist —-Emmy winning former TV Meteorologist —-CCM #794 royalcaribbeangroup.com Miami, FL Joined May 2011

Tweets

20K
Followers

21K
Following

1K
Likes

64K

Craig Setzer, CCM @CraigSetzer

11 hours ago

In Boulder this week for some serious weather nerd stuff. Staying current with the latest in the science of meteorology is crucial because it is a quickly changing field with ever increasing computing power & Machine Learning techniques. #UIFCW25

1 1 8 1K 0

Download Image

Craig Setzer, CCM @CraigSetzer

3 days ago

Well...that sure deescalated quickly! I don't recall a Tropical Weather Outlook going from 90% down to 30% ever. Environment (thermodynamic background state of the atmosphere) is one of the necessary conditions for development. Score one for the Saharan Air Layer!

30 42 391 25K 27

Download Gif

Craig Setzer, CCM @CraigSetzer

3 days ago

The Atlantic tropics continue their mid-season lull for the time being. Following Erin and Fernand, it's been mostly quiet. That will likely continue for another week before the basin begins to become more active again. Remember to never judge an entire hurricane season by…

6 10 72 8K 3

Download Gif

Craig Setzer, CCM @CraigSetzer

2 weeks ago

Serious bolt-from-the-blue lightning this afternoon 3 miles from any precip, surface or aloft, and 6 miles from the storm core. When thunder roars, head indoors.

4 5 44 4K 0

Download Image

Craig Setzer, CCM @CraigSetzer

3 weeks ago

Following the passage of Erin, and a small tropical threat near the northeast Caribbean, the Atlantic should take a breather before we head toward the peak of season in September.

11 7 53 3K 2

Download Gif

Craig Setzer, CCM @CraigSetzer

3 weeks ago

Hurricane Erin making a turn toward the north in the western Atlantic while we start to watch a broad disturbance in the far east tropical Atlantic. Because it is large, it would likely take some time to organized as it slides west. We have some time, but the location and…

8 11 54 6K 3

Download Gif

Craig Setzer, CCM @CraigSetzer

3 weeks ago

While Hurricane Erin will thankfully not be a significant hurricane event for the US, it will be a big swell generator this week. Be safe in the surf!

4 9 49 4K 0

Download Gif

Craig Setzer, CCM @CraigSetzer

3 weeks ago

Saturday finds Hurricane Erin a category 3 storm, still moving west for now, but expected to begin a turn toward the northwest and then north in the next few days. Models have been consistent for many days keeping Erin east of the USA and there's no reason to believe this won't…

8 2 30 5K 0

Download Gif

Craig Setzer, CCM @CraigSetzer

4 weeks ago

Friday we're watching the evolving steering currents north and west of Tropical Storm Erin over the next week. It probably cannot be overstated enough how important it is to replace the blocking ridge over the Northeast US with a troughlike weakness by early next week. Without…

12 23 198 27K 17

Download Gif

Craig Setzer, CCM @CraigSetzer

4 weeks ago

Thursday Erin continues moving quickly across the tropical Atlantic and we're looking for any trends in the models. We always look for trends but at 5 days out from the potential beginning of impacts, we are looking for any clues. We use ensembles (one model run many different…

2 10 60 6K 3

Download Gif

Craig Setzer, CCM @CraigSetzer

4 weeks ago

Wednesday finds small Tropical Storm Erin moving into the middle tropical Atlantic. It remains small & weak due to the unfavorably dry/dusty Saharan air & less than ideal warmth of the ocean in this area. It should be no surprise Erin hasn't strengthened yet (meteorology 101).…

1 0 22 2K 0

Download Gif

Craig Setzer, CCM @CraigSetzer

4 weeks ago

Tuesday finds Tropical Storm Erin zipping along to the west in the eastern tropical Atlantic. Disruptive shear remains low however the thermodynamic environment is poor, limiting intensification. In a few days when Erin is over warmer water & less dry air, it should begin to…

4 2 48 5K 3

Download Gif

Craig Setzer, CCM @CraigSetzer

4 weeks ago

Monday finds that we have met our first requirement (mentioned yesterday) of getting the disturbance north early on. Now for the system to directly threaten Florida it would have to move nearly straight west for days & days. The odds of that are low but not zero. The second…

5 11 81 6K 5

Download Gif

Craig Setzer, CCM @CraigSetzer

2 months ago

The little disturbance bringing rain to the northern Gulf will move slowly inland, & trailing moisture over Florida will keep the scattered shower/storm activity going. As we get further into summer now, our view widens out to the entire tropical Atlantic. Nothing brewing.