Market Trends @E_macro1
Economic and Market insights, Charts Analysis, Not a financial advisor! . Joined August 2017-
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its flashing red
The market doesn't repeat itself, but it rhymes!
The market doesn't repeat itself, but it rhymes!
$LCID sharp decline from $3.2 to $2.8 support. Most likely it will tank to $2.6 and make new lows as nothing support it.
$LCID sharp decline from $3.2 to $2.8 support. Most likely it will tank to $2.6 and make new lows as nothing support it. https://t.co/vYUz8qOVSH
BREAKING: Supreme Court restores Donald Trump to presidential ballot, rejecting state attempts to hold him accountable for attack on Capitol in 2021.
impressive how the market is resilient so far!
The AI boom is supporting the market so far. Will this continue till Fed cut rates? I don't think so. Its true that that some companies are making profits out of it, yet its heavily overvalued and the risk is high. it will be a catastrophic collapse once this bubble is burst!
$LCID lower highs, next supports are $2.8 then $2.5.. if it breaks, then new lows are possible. I think it might take 2-3 years to overcome this production hell and selling challenges with the EV sector high competition. its still far from being a profitable company.
$NVDA litrarly, Nvidia saved the market today.
$LCID numbers below analysts expectations and tanked 20%, although they deliveries were at the high end of the revised year guidance 8,000 to 8,500. This was obvious and expected. it might go back to $2.5 levels or make new lows.
$LCID is about to have their earnings call, and the stock is about to break this channel and this will depend on their numbers. Slashing the prices tells me that they are down in deliveries and trying to recover. Will see how it goes this week.
OOPS! US inflation ran hotter than expected on both the headline & core. Headline CPI climbed 3.4% YoY, a 30bp acceleration vs +3.1% in Nov (above Street’s +3.2% forecast). Core inflation climbed 3.9%, a 10bp downtick vs. +4% in Nov but above Street’s +3.8% forecast. Rate cut…
"Wage inflation has stalled at exactly the level it reached during the boom of the late 1990s." @johnauthers
US M2 money supply. "We have never seen the money supply contract this fast without some sort of negative outcome." I agree. H/T @dailychartbook
$LCID I was right about it. Now the question is will it rebound from $3.6 or make new lows? many investors are skeptical about Lucid cash burn, production capacity, and profabilty. yet, I think they are more worried now about shares dilution as it might run out of cash by end of…
$LCID was expected, it might bounce from $4 support line, or tank to $3.6. keep an eye on it.
$LCID was expected, it might bounce from $4 support line, or tank to $3.6. keep an eye on it. https://t.co/U29EKASSAd
The 30-Year mortgage rate in the US has declined 9 weeks in a row, moving from its highest level since 2000 (7.79%) down to 6.61%. The 1.18% decrease over the last 9 weeks is the biggest 9-week decline in rates since Nov 2008-Jan 2009.
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@E_macro1 It’s a new water slide design for Blizzard Beach
Valuations don’t tend to mean much over the short term but correlate with returns over longer time horizons.
Managers see continued reacceleration of inflation as the biggest tail risk.
$AMD This could get interesting 🍿
Nvidia's market cap - Tuesday: loses $78 billion - Thursday: adds $247 billion Today's gains are on pace to break Meta's single day record from just three weeks ago
BREAKING: Nvidia stock, $NVDA, REVERSES to trade 7% higher and has erased a 6% decline in a matter of minutes after reporting earnings. This reversal marks a $250 BILLION swing in market cap in just under 15 minutes. This is a $1.7 TRILLION company reporting 240%+ revenue…
Any investor in the EV space should look at this chart carefully: Rivian and Lucid have generated a shocking $19.0B and $8.9B in negative free cash flows since inception. 🤯 (updated for Rivian's and Lucid's results from yesterday)
Macro has had an influence on the market over the past year mainly because of liquidity.
Human nature doesn’t change
May be the USTreasury's huge switch to bill funding is starting to work? #liquidity
The 30-Year mortgage rate in the US has declined 9 weeks in a row, moving from its highest level since 2000 (7.79%) down to 6.61%. The 1.18% decrease over the last 9 weeks is the biggest 9-week decline in rates since Nov 2008-Jan 2009.
2024 could be the year of disinflation, but the challenge is to achieve it without a recession. ...And we are already in a private sector recession. Table, graph via JP Morgan
This isn't a meme stock, some third world country's currency, or the balance sheet of a failed regional bank - it's the losses at the Fed, and it just exceeded $130 billion:
Core inflation is back at the Fed's target, providing them a path towards easing of policy in 2024. But, is it really a "mission accomplished" moment? For example, home prices are making record highs as mortgage rates drop in anticipation of a slowing economy and easing cycle.
Trends for United States
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