Market Trends @E_macro1
Economic and Market insights, Charts Analysis, Not a financial advisor! . Joined August 2017-
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Market Trends retweeted
The market is now pricing in a 50% chance of a US recession by June 2025. The percentage has more than doubled over the last month and is up from just 10% in July. Furthermore, the market is pricing in a 50% probability that the Fed will cut rates by at least 200 basis points…
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Market Trends retweeted
History repeats. September 18, 2007:
50bp shouldn't be a good sign! JP has emphasized the message several times that the economy is FINE, this tells you its NOT! you can see below how the market is confused.
Market Trends retweeted
US yield curve steepens following jumbo Fed rate cut. 2s/10s yield spread now at +7.2bps.
Let the fun begin!
#Gold ATH with rates cuts, dollar fall, and fears of a mild recession.. High probability that gold will reach higher levels this year.
Market Trends retweeted
🇺🇸 FED TO CUT RATES BY 0.50% - JPMorgan
Market Trends retweeted
The difference between the 2-year Treasury yield and the Fed interest rates dropped to -1.69%, the most in at least 35 years. This gap is now even larger than in 2008 and in 1989, a few months before the recession began. The 2-year Treasury yield is considered a leading…
Market Trends retweeted
The US CPI report is in line with the consensus forecasts with an important exception -- hotter monthly core inflation (0.3% versus 0.2%). Given the extreme degree of "data point dependency" in the marketplace, immediate asset price reactions include higher rates and lower stock…
$AAPL struggling here
$AAPL struggling here https://t.co/mFQCAL1SQi
$NVDA as expected, welcome back! looks to me that its done with consolidation at this level and ready for another breakout!
$NVDA as expected, welcome back! looks to me that its done with consolidation at this level and ready for another breakout! https://t.co/2pPjMETiwO
$LCID following the pattern and the broad market rise after the recent inflation data. There is high probability we will see a bull rally after surpassing $4.2
$LCID following the pattern and the broad market rise after the recent inflation data. There is high probability we will see a bull rally after surpassing $4.2 https://t.co/tzS74xsaHA
Market Trends retweeted
This yield curve inversion is WORSE than 1929 and 2008 Buckle up
Market Trends retweeted
The 2-10s yield curve has turned positive again. If it closes here, it'll be the first time it ends the session with the 10-year higher than the 2-year yield since 2022. Traders are viewing the latest jobs report as allowing the Fed to cut enough to prevent a deep recession.
The recent downfall of oil prices was due a combination of trading liquidity factors related to hedge funds and currency carry trade. Plus, China weaker demand and US over supply. Surprisingly, Libya shutdown and OPEC+ decision to delay its production qouta didn't have much…
immigration is driving the employment here. This must have an negative impact citizens jobs opportunities and wages, yet it will lower the cost on companies and increase their margins! its like the government is serving the elite!
Market Trends retweeted
Ouch! China's property stocks are back to 2008 lows.
comprehensive labor market situation breakdown by @GregDaco! which supports the 25bps cut. still inflation figures next week will determine the FOMC decision.
comprehensive labor market situation breakdown by @GregDaco! which supports the 25bps cut. still inflation figures next week will determine the FOMC decision.
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