Campbell @abcampbell
macro stoic the world of dollars Joined August 2011-
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Back when I was a college debater, you basically weren't allowed to use the 'slippery slope' argument. Too banal, too trite, too simplistic. "Just don't fall down the slope!" was the rebuttal. Turns out the slippery slope is real and it's a MFer. x.com/TheRabbitHole8…
Back when I was a college debater, you basically weren't allowed to use the 'slippery slope' argument. Too banal, too trite, too simplistic. "Just don't fall down the slope!" was the rebuttal. Turns out the slippery slope is real and it's a MFer. x.com/TheRabbitHole8…
"these are the same picture"
Silver Isn’t Precious Anymore, Just Critical Solar’s conductivity makes it the most crucial metal for the electrification of the industrial world. In the unlikely event that silver’s demand from solar and EVs falls in the coming years, there are other sources of demand waiting…
Doomer industrial complex in shambles! Defeated by S curve and positive-sum games.
Doomer industrial complex in shambles! Defeated by S curve and positive-sum games.
Whoever thought this was a good idea should be fired and have 20 years of their compensation clawed back.
this is an amazing book and you should read it immediately no single document I’ve read so completely proves how overconfident Drs are no single book relates “don’t trust machines” to medical professionals with a god complex you should trust your doctor about as much as you…
this is an amazing book and you should read it immediately no single document I’ve read so completely proves how overconfident Drs are no single book relates “don’t trust machines” to medical professionals with a god complex you should trust your doctor about as much as you…
Total Doomer victory. AI now more regulated in Europe than China.
**Burning Man is Dead** (Disclaimer: Burner since 2012. Ran an Esplanade camp for a decade.) I left Thursday morning. I may never return. Not because of the rain. Not because I had a bad time, it was fine. But because what I witnessed was the dying ember of something…
this is why I get in fights on the internet, even though it’s perceived by normies as “low status” the only way u are going to change ur mind is cognitive dissonance. the only way u can provoke dissonance is to seek it out, openly. otherwise the walled garden of ur mind closes…
this is why I get in fights on the internet, even though it’s perceived by normies as “low status” the only way u are going to change ur mind is cognitive dissonance. the only way u can provoke dissonance is to seek it out, openly. otherwise the walled garden of ur mind closes…
This is gaslighting. When the doomers and ai zoomers tell you to believe their benchmarks over your subjective, lived experience. Thing is, the models were *trained* on the tests. Sure, line goes up, but the second derivative is negative. That’s what the scaling law says.
This is gaslighting. When the doomers and ai zoomers tell you to believe their benchmarks over your subjective, lived experience. Thing is, the models were *trained* on the tests. Sure, line goes up, but the second derivative is negative. That’s what the scaling law says.
What are we doing? How are we in a situation where we invented silicon solar cells, China is building them so quickly that coal use is down despite skyrocketing demand, and we're turning *back* to coal? This is sabotage.
What are we doing? How are we in a situation where we invented silicon solar cells, China is building them so quickly that coal use is down despite skyrocketing demand, and we're turning *back* to coal? This is sabotage. https://t.co/OPjHLcKdwW
5bn oz of silver btw
culture matters
two *years* worth of global silver mine supply for those counting at home… in one country
hot take: your nation’s top bankers should not commit bank fraud
hot take: your nation’s top bankers should not commit bank fraud
Remember the Pause AI thing 😂
if 3b people are labeling data in 2050 @rosedotai gonna be worth a trillion dollars
if 3b people are labeling data in 2050 @rosedotai gonna be worth a trillion dollars
Funny how all these accounts glazing China for popping its bubble pretend banks don’t exist. $33T of loans @ ~10% losses = THREE TRILLION dollar recap needed. They don’t need a bad bank, they are the bad bank. The emperor has no clothes and his bank is a house of cards.
Funny how all these accounts glazing China for popping its bubble pretend banks don’t exist. $33T of loans @ ~10% losses = THREE TRILLION dollar recap needed. They don’t need a bad bank, they are the bad bank. The emperor has no clothes and his bank is a house of cards. https://t.co/ZZjGmcybhO

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