CERA Storm Surge @CERAStormSurge
CERA - Coastal Emergency Risks Assessment #LASeaGrant #LSUCCT. Web portal for storm surge, flood & wind maps for real-time decision support. Carola Kaiser@LSU. cera.coastalrisk.live Baton Rouge, LA Joined August 2017-
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Can machine learning help to improve storm surge prediction? Our research article "Storm Surge Modeling in the AI Era: Using LSTM-based Machine Learning for Enhancing Forecasting Accuracy" got published in the Coastal Engineering journal. 🔗 doi.org/10.1016/j.coas…
10 groups have submitted predictions to the Seasonal Hurricane Predictions platform (seasonalhurricanepredictions.org) so far for the 2024 Atlantic #hurricane season. All groups are calling for an above-normal season, with the average of all forecasts calling for 11 hurricanes.
Machine learning (ML) methods are powerful to further improve the accuracy of storm surge models. The LSU CERA Group is actively working on combining cutting-edge ML research results with the reliable CERA real-time forecasting system that is widely used during active storms.
Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen (#PTC16) shows a pretty large wind field and and storm surge warnings have been published for North Carolina. You can follow us on cera.coastalrisk.live for potential storm surge impacts.
Hurricane #Lee is undoubtedly one of the most powerful storms we've ever witnessed! The wave impacts are huge.
The CERA Team has run a retrospective of hurricane #Idalia to provide water level heights, winds, and waves using Idalia's NHC Track. Please check it out here cera.coastalrisk.live/s/fa15
Catastrophic landfall from hurricane #Idalia in the Big Bend In Florida. Huge wind and surge impacts expected when moving inland and reaching the Atlantic Coast. cera.coastalrisk.live
7:45 AM EDT update: Extremely dangerous Category 3 Hurricane #Idalia makes landfall in the Florida Big Bend. Maximum sustained winds were estimated to be 125 mph. Catastrophic storm surge and damaging winds ongoing.
Hurricane #Idalia Advisory 14: Idalia Still Strengthening. Forecast to Be an Extremely Dangerous Category 4 Intensity At Landfall. hurricanes.gov
Advisory 12: #Idelia has strengthened and is expected to further do so until landfall in the FL Big Bend. Storm surge will very likely rise quickly.
Advisory 8 NHC update: #Idalia has the potential of becoming a major hurricane with severe flooding and wind threats impacting the Tampa area and Florida coast. See our latest storm surge forecasts on cera.coastalrisk.live
Tropical Storm #Idelia has formed and is about to strengthen over the next days. Track has shifted slightly to the South (advisory 5). cera.coastalrisk.live
Tropical Depression TEN (#Idalia), advisory 3: Potential for high storm surge in FL Bend.
📷 Please visit us for real-time storm surge and wind coverage for Tropical Depression TEN (soon-to-be #Idelia). cera.coastalrisk.live
Updated Atlantic seasonal #hurricane forecast from @ColoradoStateU calls for above-normal season: 18 named storms (including 4 that have formed), 9 hurricanes & 4 major hurricanes. Extremely warm tropical/subtropical Atlantic may dominate over #ElNino: tropical.colostate.edu/Forecast/2023-…
Hurricane season is here! We are currently covering Tropical Storm #Bret with our regional model mesh developed for Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. See the latest here: lnkd.in/eFGERFR
Today is the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season and it’s already off to an active start! We have activated our storm surge and wind forecasts to capture Tropical Depression TWO. cera.coastalrisk.live
With the 2023 hurricane season fast approaching, we want to ensure you are fully prepared. Please take a moment to visit our new historical storm surge archive. Discover what places have been affected and strengthen your preparedness for the future. cera.coastalrisk.live/s/0fc2
Today, we received an email from one of our CERA users asking about some more information about hurricane IAN or even a "success story". We are delighted to do this! lnkd.in/dVUd8Q-v
The science is clearly good. The @NHC_Atlantic forecast cone was accurate many days before landfall. The @CERAStormSurge predictions for #surge at Ft. Myers Beach and other places appear to have been spot on. #HurricaneIan 5/6
Andy Hazelton @AndyHazelton
23K Followers 697 Following Associate Scientist at UM/CIMAS and NOAA AOML/HRD. This is a personal account and tweets do not represent the opinions of NOAA or UM. 3x FSU Alum #GoNoles
Bret Webb @dr_bw
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Mark Sudduth @hurricanetrack
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4K Followers 2K Following This is where you going to get your hurricane Season Info. Also a Avid Gamer. My Weather Youtube https://t.co/R2z0PA9Xrj
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30K Followers 2K Following Weather forecasting by human and machine. Sales inquires: [email protected] Tech support: [email protected]New Bern, NC roughly 24 hours apart. Probably gonna see a few more feet before all is said and done. @foxweather @NWSMoreheadCity
New video! #Hurricane #IDALIA as it roared ashore & blasted Perry #Florida. I take you along on my whole chase—but if you just want the sexy storm footage, skip to the chapter (appropriately) called "The Penetration." VIDEO: youtu.be/-zKd6K4OYEE?si…
Over the last week I've seen a LOT of footage of flooding around the world. I thought I'd put them here in one place 🧵 #floods #ClimateEmergency #degrowth 1. Greece (1/13) x.com/us_stormwatch/…
Catastrophic floods have absolutely devastated Central Greece. Zagora, Greece received 30 inches of rain in one day. That’s more rain than London typically sees in a year. 🎥 @RomainChvt
@CERAStormSurge @LSUCCT @LSUResearch @StormSurgeLive This is spot on!!! Right down to the houses /streets that flooded in my neighborhood and those that did not...amazing!
"If the ocean is elevated already (from the #supermoon), then the surge can do that much more damage when it rides on top of it," Jamie Rhome, the deputy director of the National Hurricane Center said. Up to 15 feet of surge is forecast in #Florida's Big Bend. #HurricaneIdalia
Advisory 12: #Idelia has strengthened and is expected to further do so until landfall in the FL Big Bend. Storm surge will very likely rise quickly.
There is also an increasing risk for those in and around Tampa Bay. Monitor the situation closely in these areas! #Idalia
Storm surge assessment maps have been updated as of the 11 AM advisory. Areas from New Port Richey to Horseshoe Beach are in line for significant inundation. If you live on the coast in these areas, you should be making preparations to evacuate. #Idalia
#Juuuuuuuuuuuuunneeeeeeeee See (hopefully just a few of) you out there
I certainly wouldn't lean on the CFSv2 for day to day forecasting, but it's not bad at picking out broad pattern changes at range - and the current pattern change gaining some consistency in early June has been a signal for "a lot of storms" in the Central U.S.
The story of Albert Einstein meeting Charlie Chaplin is gold. So, in 1930, Albert Einstein and his wife Elsa visited the US. It was a mini-tour of the country and Albert was slated to give a lecture at the California Institute of Technology. While on the trip, the…
The @CERAStormSurge assessment has been updated for #Nicole. Significant surge (>4) is possible from Port St. Lucie north, with the highest surge possible in the St. Augustine - Jacksonville area.
The latest @CERAStormSurge assessment shows that levels have lowered near Port St. Lucie due to the track shifting further north. Large water rises still possible from Palm Bay northward. #Nicole
@OmarNof06821260 The @CERAStormSurge #ASGS system really nailed it! The inundation predictions were so good I was able to tell my parents where it would #flood and when it would peak. And they confirmed it! Really cannot say enough great things about this tool.
@alissajean Not sure if you're worried about rain or storm surge but @CERAStormSurge is a neat resource too. cera.coastalrisk.live
OCS has been awarded funding through the Office of Response and Restoration, Disaster Preparedness Program’s Lagniappe Awards program to support a collaborative project with Louisiana State University to improve storm surge models! @NOAACleanCoasts cera.coastalrisk.live
“At this point, the science has changed,” said Meyer. Danny Meyer, owner of the Union Square Hospitality Group, announced that #BoosterShots will become compulsory for employees and diners at each of their locations. theepochtimes.com/nyc-restaurant…
"Regular adherence to the rules of personal and public hygiene is a guarantee of health" Soviet poster, 1981
ASE/EM Dept. Chair Clint Dawson is leading this new research project to help better predict storm surge in #hurricanes like Ida:
#Hurricane_Ida brought its own unique challenges to the Gulf Coast. No two storms are ever the same. Now a team led by @UTAerospace & @OdenInstitute are developing #AI, #MachineLearning and #digitaltwin tech to better predict storm surge behavior. bit.ly/3truGxi
#Hurricane_Ida brought its own unique challenges to the Gulf Coast. No two storms are ever the same. Now a team led by @UTAerospace & @OdenInstitute are developing #AI, #MachineLearning and #digitaltwin tech to better predict storm surge behavior. bit.ly/3truGxi
These model runs are extremely helpful for planning rapid pre-storm deployments for neerassociation.org and other groups. Thank you CERA!
The CERA Group at LSU would like to invite you to follow us for storm surge guidance for (soon to be) hurricane IDA on the Coastal Emergency Risks Assessment (CERA) website at cera.coastalrisk.live Thank you to our partners at Seahorse Coastal Consulting and LSU CCT.
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