Juan Pablo @technicaltrendf
Trend-following. Market & Technicals. Tweets are not investment advice. Gramado, Brasil Joined July 2020-
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Juan Pablo retweeted
"Liquidity cannot stand the turn of the Business Cycle" (no matter what liquiditist try to tell us). Recession is coming! And it will crush stocks. #BTC will get absolutely slaughtered. #Crypto annihilated! The largest Bubble ever will burst - no matter what the Fed tries to…
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Juan Pablo retweeted
Many think there's no reason to worry about weak growth b/c stocks will get bailed out in the end. That's not how cycles work. 25bps cuts don't matter. Neither does this long-end move. Turning the economy requires big stimulus, and that's not coming without far more pain.
Juan Pablo retweeted
Market Crash Indicator 30y:2y (August Final Print): This indicator, which measures the spread between the 30y & 2yr treasuries, has called the biggest crashes of the last 30 years every time it fired off...And it just fired off this afternoon...The final August monthly print for…
Juan Pablo retweeted
I don’t see why the market’s pricing in rate cuts—certainly not aggressive easing. Unemployment claims, housing, GDP, and consumer spending = pointing toward inflation, not recession. Bull market fuel long term. No real short-term easing juice. Cycle work favors…
Juan Pablo retweeted
U.S. stock market valuations now at most expensive level ever, surpassing dot-com era and 1929 pre-depression peak
Juan Pablo retweeted
BofA: First signs of euphoria Global Risk-Love is at the 93rd percentile of its history since 1987
Juan Pablo retweeted
It's just not credible for the Fed to claim to have a 2% inflation target when it's been 53 months above target and moving higher & they shift to further easing.
Juan Pablo retweeted
Indicator I created 15 years ago: green boxes show when MA of tick highs and lows is wide and red boxes when they are narrower. Buy when Green - highly correlated with extrema AD readings that we see at bottoms, both to upside and downside. Currently on a sell...
Juan Pablo retweeted
Watch closely when #VIX specs short $VIX in size as the $markets are rising. Previous two episodes of large VIX selling over the past year ended with the $SPX correcting... and this time the VIX action has been extreme. h/t @themarketear
Juan Pablo retweeted
@RealAlexJones @JohnDParody @MakisMD Makis is the whole reason why my husband is beating cancer with IVR and Fenben! If it wasn't for these repurposed drugs I believe he would not be healing so quickly from stage 4. Makis is doing incredible things. Giving the middle finger to big pharma and saving lives one by one!
Juan Pablo retweeted
Perfect storm in global bond markets: (i) high debt levels mean countries must abandon the status quo & pursue fiscal consolidation, which is difficult (France); (ii) elsewhere, politicians lean on central banks to bring yields down (Italy, US). The result: long-term yields rise.
Juan Pablo retweeted
Initial data shows 2 patients with near Complete Response & 100% disease control in first 5 patients. When the immune system is protected, CR in tumors difficult to treat in recurrent GBM is possible. GBM trial open at CSSIFM.org Data for lung cancer next #WCLC25
Juan Pablo retweeted
Emerging Markets... are emerging. Thoughts + next steps and catalysts: entrylevel.topdowncharts.com/p/chart-of-the…
Juan Pablo retweeted
Powell's approach of appeasement is not working, he probably should fight back.
Juan Pablo retweeted
Trump is only afraid of stock market
Juan Pablo retweeted
Are any of you in favor of a government controlled economy? Cause that’s where we’re headed. Fed control now gone Tariffs controlling what our goods cost Government buying companies National guard deployed. Out of control government spending This isn’t what I voted for.
Juan Pablo retweeted
$SPX I call this the simulation chart. Because it's near too damn perfect dating back to 2018! Everyone in Wall Street sees it. Every Fintwitter sees it. My blind dog who died 3 years ago still sees it. We are at a critical juncture here now testing the upper line of the…
Juan Pablo retweeted
If you're data-driven you don't cut. ❌ If you have a crystal ball that says we about to implode, or you reinterpret your mandate then maybe you cut... ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ (and p.s. don't say you cut for finstab as cutting will blow asset bubbles higher and worsen future finstab.)
Juan Pablo retweeted
Powell without the courage to stand against political pressure. Someone needs to tell the FOMC the "commitment" to a 2% mandate lacks any credibility when inflation has been above it for 52m and the Fed signals rate cuts as inflation rises and the economy is at full employment.
Juan Pablo retweeted
🇺🇸U.S. ECONOMIC DATA THIS WEEK: • NEW HOME SALES (MON.) • DURABLE GOODS ORDERS (TUES.) • HOUSE PRICE INDEX (TUES.) • CONSUMER CONFIDENCE (TUES.) • RICHMOND FED INDEX (TUES.) • Q2 GDP (THURS.) • JOBLESS CLAIMS (THURS.) • PENDING HOME SALES (THURS.) • CORE PCE INFLATION…
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