Tony C @the1geek
Techie, Epistemophile, Pragmatist, Centrist, Altruist, Health Nut, Dreamer. ALL my dreams & predictions on SciTech since grade school became a reality & enjoyed Silicon Valley Joined April 2009-
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Tony C retweeted
BREAKING: The delinquency rate on Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS) for offices surged 62 basis points in August, to a record 11.7%. This is now a full percentage point above the post-2008 peak of 10.7%. Since December 2022, the CMBS delinquency rate has risen by…
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Tony C retweeted
Total Household Debt hit $18.39 Trillion last quarter, a new all-time high 🚨 Congrats everyone, we did it 🥳🫂
Tony C retweeted
Serious Credit Card Delinquencies (unpaid balances for at least 90 days) hit their highest level in 14 years 🚨🚨🚨
Tony C retweeted
U.S. Consumer Sentiment by Income Level
Tony C retweeted
U.S. Margin Debt jumps to $1.02 Trillion, a new all-time high 🤯👀
Tony C retweeted
U.S. Stock Market hits its most expensive valuation in history, surpassing the Dot Com Bubble and the run-up to the Great Depression 🤯
Will history repeat itself, or is this time different?
Will history repeat itself, or is this time different?
Tony C retweeted
Is PPI inflation set to rise further? The Philly Fed Prices Paid Index jumped 8 points in August, to 66.8, the highest since May 2022. This index measures changes in the prices that manufacturers pay for raw materials and supplies. The metric has been in a strong upward…
Tony C retweeted
Who's gonna tell him he's not a dog ?
Tony C retweeted
An outlook for the Stock Market this week: The stock market is entering the last week of August on a bullish note, held up by recent signals from Fed Chair Powell that suggest interest rate cuts are on the horizon. The corporate earnings season is still active, and even with…
China started AI r&d in full tilt earlier, as described by Kai-Fu Lee in his book, "AI Superpowers" published on 9/2018
China started AI r&d in full tilt earlier, as described by Kai-Fu Lee in his book, "AI Superpowers" published on 9/2018
Tony C retweeted
$SPY been a while since I've posted on the index but today's close seems important. Spinning top with first sign of bearish divergence inside what is potentially a rising wedge. You can also see this rising trendline can be drawn back to March. Zoom back more and we're…
Tony C retweeted
M2 Money Supply jumps to a new all-time high of $22 Trillion 🚀📈
Tony C retweeted
Watching $AAPL suddenly catch a bid after lagging the MAG-7 for the entire rally reminds me of this quote from legend William O'Neil: "When the old dogs begin to bark, the market is on its last feeble leg"
Tony C retweeted
I don't often use linear charts but they can add perspective. Chart of $4.4 trillion mkt cap $NVDA. Now let's cut rates by 50bp with core inflation at 3.1% & rising, fin conditions as loose as with 0 rates & QE, M2 at new record highs & mkt/cap to GDP at 212%. Alrighty then.
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