Aim2Learn @Aim2Learn2
5 Time Recession Survivor. All tweets are strictly opinion and should not be used to make ANY kind of decision. Los Angeles Joined September 2021-
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The Fed's are talking about so many data points today. But one big problem you don't hear about much shown below. In short, people's incomes are not keeping up with housing costs. So I have to ask... What could possibly go wrong?
The 10yr yields relaxing a bit meanwhile mortgage and jumbos dropping from last weeks high's. How much longer will the erratic bond market volatility continue with the constantly changing tariffs. no wonder GOLD futures have been looking nice
Is Mr. J Powell going to be known as the next legendary Arthur F. Burns? cut to only to later on have to hike? is a stagnant economy ahead? stay tuned
Retail summary by Bloomberg AI on the retail sales data released earlier today. Is this how "economic slowdowns" and perhaps maybe even stagflation begin?
As seen from the previous repost below, 3M Euribor, down to up to back down, Clearly problems in paradise and markets still trying to figure out pricing, one side sees stagflation, the other side doesn't.
10Y3M ... wondering if the deeper the inversion the harder the recession/stagflation? Something doesn't look right folks
10Yr breaking out from previous year over year high.... the bondsmen clearly aren't trusting the feds and their dot plot
keep an eye on the paper with some of the distressed B "rated" names within next 24 months, is the so called "high yield" even worth the risk? Can't stop wont stop. Just part of the cycle.
Does it sound a bit Stagflationary? FOMC : Officials Expected To Slow Pace of Rate Cuts After December Meeting FOMC : Officials Expected Slower Progress on Inflation Due To Trump's Trade, Immigration Plans FOMC : Almost All Officials Said Upside Risks to Inflation Had Increased
The median household income necessary to purchase the median home for sale in the US ($118k) is over 49% higher than the current median household income ($79k). The most unaffordable housing market in history continues. Video: youtube.com/watch?v=iahlYX…
Now that Trump has won, they are revising all of their numbers during the Biden administration. The govt initially reported Q2 of 2024 had 653,000 job gains. It was actually NEGATIVE. There was also a revision of 800,000 jobs from last year. They falsified the data to try to…
Now that Trump has won, they are revising all of their numbers during the Biden administration. The govt initially reported Q2 of 2024 had 653,000 job gains. It was actually NEGATIVE. There was also a revision of 800,000 jobs from last year. They falsified the data to try to…
So market anticipating cuts going into years end. Inflation is currently about 25-30% higher than the Feds target ACCORDING TO THEIR METRICS. The fact that they are seriously considering cutting it speaks volumes and stagflation will most likely be waiting at the doorstep.
$SPY $IWM $SPX $QQQ seems like overleveraged carry over trades that were used to buy stocks are now causing market volatility ontop of geopolitical tensions, what a time to be trading. Central Banks allowed this behavior, does this mean that there were policy error(s)?
Our rental data shows single-family asking rent growth running well above historical average in many markets. Only one market (Las Vegas) showing declines, and just barely.
There is no such thing as inflation minus shelter, energy, food. Grab the avg person's ("needed") expense to income ratio & find out what the top expendatures relative to a period of acceptable inflation and fix the problem. hrm lets be realistic, shelter MUST come down.
non "soft landing" odds increasing... gee wonder why? 🤔 see ya'll later on in stagflation folks. no stopping stagflation, damage has been done to the economy and wrong cards were dealt and/or voted for. just a matter of time for staggy, not if but when.
I know no one cares about this rn, but I do. I have posted about this before. All this sterile debate about inflation misses one key point. The « common man » doesn’t give a shit about all these Byzantines pile of nonsense. Lower income folks spend as % of income : 40% on…

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