Mo na @ziguratgo
Joined February 2018-
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BOOM: Payrolls revision -911K, biggest on record!
This is another BLS scandal, and Trump was absolutely right to fire the BLS commissioner. What this means: 1). There was virtually no job creation in the last year of the Biden admin. 2). The Fed should have started cutting in February.
This is another BLS scandal, and Trump was absolutely right to fire the BLS commissioner. What this means: 1). There was virtually no job creation in the last year of the Biden admin. 2). The Fed should have started cutting in February. https://t.co/TPsf70CZ4e
ISM Services stronger in August with prices paid still elevated, employment in contraction, and new orders up sharply ... business activity rose as well while imports bounced back into expansion
Ethereum ETF flows keep closing the gap with Bitcoin. Since mid-July, Bitcoin ETF flows have gone flat. Ethereum, by contrast, is in its strongest inflow streak since launch. While Bitcoin still has a large lead, Ethereum is catching up fast.
⚠️ Thought this was interesting: At 75k... this is the lowest Bloomberg median estimate for NFP since Dec 2020. Strip out Covid, it's the lowest since Nov 2011. In other words, the consensus has rarely been this pessimistic on jobs over the last 15 years. Tells us the skew $USD
Fed's Waller just told CNBC: We should cut at next meeting
The market cannot move without tech: Just 10 technology stocks have accounted for 59% of the US stock market’s rally since 2019. Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Broadcom, Meta, Microsoft, Netflix, Nvidia, Palantir, and Tesla shares have rallied +295% since 2019. Together, they have…
Gold is telling the future: The S&P 500 is in one of its strongest bull runs in decades, up +1,650 POINTS in under 5 months. Meanwhile, Gold's YTD return just hit +37%, nearly 4 TIMES more than the S&P 500 YTD. Why is gold crushing stocks in a bull market? (a thread)
We conclude with this chart: A sudden surge in Gold as a % of global reserves as the % of USD falls. Reducing the US deficit would solve many of our problems. For now, all we can do is position accordingly. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops.
GS: We estimate that if 1% of the privately owned US Treasury market were to flow into gold, the gold price would rise to nearly $5,000/oz, assuming everything else remains constant. As a result, gold remains our highest-conviction long recommendation in the commodities space.
Goldman Sachs expects gold to surge to $4,000 an ounce by mid-2026. If the Fed's credibility gets significantly eroded, GS sees gold nearing $5,000. Gold prices have already doubled in the past three years. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Woah. Giant $TSLA whale just added $2.5M worth of OTM Calls Hopefully they make sure to trim this time 😅
Bitcoin pulled back from its all-time high in August, but this isn’t a bear market setup. U.S. financial conditions are loose and trending looser. That means when sentiment turns, liquidity is in place for a quick recovery.

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