Anthony Barton @ABartonMacro
Gluing it together at @MNIMarketNews. Brevity. marketnews.com London Joined August 2011-
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MNI INTERVIEW: Bullard Says March Is Too Early For Fed To Cut Rates marketnews.com/mni-interview-…
🇬🇧 The UK is proposing to scrap EU restrictions on short selling of sovereign bonds introduced during the EZ debt crisis, arguing that making it easier for investors such as hedge funds to bet against gov't bonds will ⬆️ liquidity in the gilt market - FT ft.com/content/0c43e2…
🇪🇺 Some hawkish European Central Bank officials are pondering options to speed up the reduction of the institution’s €5 trillion stash of bonds, according to people familiar with the debate - BBG bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
The ECB may have to sacrifice growth to contain inflation, National Bank of Belgium Governor Wunsch tells MNI in an exclusive interview. For full piece click here: mni.marketnews.com/3pmupOI #ecbforum; #ecb
🇬🇧 BoE comms & the move to 25bp hikes provide a high bar when it comes to reverting to 50bp. The latest labour mkt report moved the needle (although seasonal wage patterns need to be considered). Underlying inflation eyed this morning with ~30bp of tightening priced for tomorrow.
🇬🇧 BoE comms & the move to 25bp hikes provide a high bar when it comes to reverting to 50bp. The latest labour mkt report moved the needle (although seasonal wage patterns need to be considered). Underlying inflation eyed this morning with ~30bp of tightening priced for tomorrow.
🇬🇧 Terminal BoE policy rate pricing closed at ~5.90% Tues after flirting with 6% for the first time since the mini-Budget on Mon/Tues. - The hawkish BoE wing hasn't outlined a firm preference for a 50bp hike in the time since the labour mkt report. - CPI due in just under 1 hour.
🇬🇧 Terminal BoE policy rate pricing closed at ~5.90% Tues after flirting with 6% for the first time since the mini-Budget on Mon/Tues. - The hawkish BoE wing hasn't outlined a firm preference for a 50bp hike in the time since the labour mkt report. - CPI due in just under 1 hour.
🇬🇧 The Bank of England should raise interest rates to 5 per cent this week in an aggressive move to fight back against stubbornly high inflation, according to The Times’ shadow monetary policy committee. thetimes.co.uk/article/times-…
You are invited to listen to introductory remarks and Q&A by Gediminas Šimkus, Chairman of the Central Bank of Lithuania & Member of the ECB Governing Council on Tuesday 20th June, 2pm-3:30pm London time/9am-10:30am New York time. Click here to register: eventbrite.co.uk/e/640621846187
🇳🇿 The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s Official Cash Rate has reached a contractionary level at 5.5% and will likely stay there until mid-2024, despite market expectations for an earlier cut, RBNZ Chief Economist Paul Conway told @MNIMarketnews marketnews.com/mni-interview-…
🇳🇿 Westpac: Getting inflation back to sustainable levels won’t be easy & more is required to achieve this goal within a reasonable timeframe. We’ve revised up our f'cast for the peak RBNZ OCR to 6%. - Note the OIS strip was pricing a peak OCR of just over 5.50% at Monday's close.
The ECB is most likely to hike only once or twice more in this cycle, Eurosystem officials told MNI. Click here to read MNI's latest ECB sources piece: mni.marketnews.com/41xyPPL
🇺🇸 More Fedspeak than you can shake a stick at this week, with eyes on any rhetoric surrounding last week's fresh cycle high in long run UoM consumer inflation expectations. - Fed-dated OIS currently prices just over 70bp of '23 cuts from terminal, operating off recent extremes.
Lagged effects of rate hikes, credit tightening and the spending down of excess savings should pull down demand and inflation, Richmond Fed president tells MNI in an interview late Friday. Click here for full MNI Exclusive: mni.marketnews.com/3MoY5DG
Me, currently adjusting to my first daytime shift since early '18
🇨🇳 Chinese leaders said the country’s economic recovery needs continued “forceful” fiscal and monetary support, warning that domestic demand is still insufficient - BBG bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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Birthday present from the folks. Not really sure what to make of that.
.@Yogi_Chan trying to convince us this counts as packed lunch
Happy new years all. Here’s to more craziness in 2024 🥂
@ABartonMacro @MacroMoneyTrade Ah, welcome back from your nocturnal land!
@MrMacroMarkets @ABartonMacro We should just move in together
It's for the points, I'm sure they pay every month...
Revolving credit growth +15.6% year/year in January, near highest rate since mid-1990s
Great to see MNI's Lewis Porylo ask a question at the key China National People's Congress today live on CCTV1. Lewis and Marissa Wang will be hard at work at the (CNP) Congress over the weekend, so our subscribers will have plenty of insightful coverage to look forward to.
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